Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
This Polymarket tracks the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-3 lower bracket quarterfinal between Legacy and HOTU in IEM Rio Group B. The market resolves to Legacy or HOTU based on the match winner, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a result. It is scheduled for April 14 at 4:30 PM ET and resolves shortly after the match result is known.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $387,753.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor bought the dip
A proven high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate bought Legacy at 47¢ during a sharp intraday dip, and the market has already rebounded to 57%.
- This bettor has won 897 of 1,226 resolved markets and has traded across 434 markets.
- They bought Legacy at 47¢ during a fast 11.5-point drop, and the price is already up to 57¢.
- The bet is small versus this wallet's history, but the entry suggests they saw the selloff as mispriced.
$1,388 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp bettor bought the dip
A proven high-volume sports trader with 822 resolved bets bought Legacy at 43¢ right after a sharp drop, and the market has already rebounded to 57%.
- This bettor has 822 resolved bets, wins 66% of them, and is up $160k overall
- They bought Legacy at 43¢ during a fast 11.5-point drop, and the market is now 57¢
- Entry at 43¢ offered strong upside if Legacy was mispriced, with a quick 14-point move already confirming demand
$2,480 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 66%
5-wallet HOTU wave
A 5-wallet one-sided push put $76.8k behind HOTU during an 87x volume spike, and this wallet is a proven high-volume cross-market bettor joining that move.
- Five wallets piled into HOTU with $76.8k total, creating a clear one-sided signal.
- This wallet has 640 resolved bets, wins 57% of them, and is up nearly $40k overall.
- The move hit during an 87x jump in market activity and pushed Legacy down fast.
$1,314 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 57%
91% winner leads HOTU pile-in
A proven sharp wallet with a 91% win rate led a $214k one-sided push into HOTU, alongside a major pre-match volume spike and immediate price move.
- A bettor who wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M made the bulk of this $214k HOTU buy wave.
- Five wallets piled into HOTU in minutes, and the market moved about 11.5 points toward HOTU right after.
- The buys went in around 53-57¢, suggesting this group saw HOTU as undervalued before the match started.
$214,316 on HOTU
91% winner leads HOTU cluster
An 18-wallet funded cluster is active in this match, and one of the HOTU buyers is a standout sharp wallet with a 91% win rate deploying over $142k into a single side during a major volume spike.
- A bettor who wins 91% of their trades and is up $1.1M led this HOTU buy with about $135k.
- Three wallets bought HOTU for $142.8k total, and they trace back to a larger 18-wallet funded network.
- This hit during a 1241x volume spike, showing unusually strong money flowing into this match.
$142,841 on HOTU
8-wallet Legacy pile-in
A high-volume coordinated buy into Legacy is being led by a serial sports trader with a large sample size and 73% win rate, making this flow worth following despite the liquid market.
- Eight wallets bought Legacy together for $49.7k, a strong one-sided signal on this match.
- This wallet has made 1,226 resolved bets with a 73% win rate across 257 events.
- Market activity exploded to 1,241x normal volume as Legacy was bought at 46¢ after a fast price drop.
$1,018 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 73%
8-wallet Legacy pile-in
A highly active profitable sports wallet joined a coordinated 8-wallet $49.7k buy into Legacy during an extreme pre-match volume surge, making this a notable directional signal despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor has 838 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up $532k lifetime.
- Eight wallets bought Legacy together for $49.7k as volume surged 1241x above normal before the match.
- They entered at 45¢ while Legacy now sits around 46-47¢, showing coordinated conviction near even odds.
$5,311 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly active and profitable sports trader with 706 resolved bets bought HOTU into a major pre-match volume spike and short-term price move, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest single-ticket size.
- This bettor has won 68% of 706 resolved bets and is up $6.2M lifetime
- The buy landed during a 141x surge in market activity as HOTU jumped 11.5 points in minutes
- They bought HOTU at 54¢, a meaningful price on a liquid match market rather than a random thin-market punt
$3,604 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 68%
4-wallet Legacy cluster
Four wallets, including two high-volume profitable cross-market traders, bought Legacy at 43-47¢ during a sharp volume spike and the price has already moved to 52%, suggesting coordinated conviction in a near-coinflip esports match.
- Four wallets piled into Legacy at 43-47¢ and the price has already moved up to 52%
- Two of the buyers are seasoned traders with 66% and 73% win rates across 800+ and 1,200+ resolved bets
- This hit during an 87x volume spike, which is notable positioning in a match now trading near a coin flip
$6,667 on Legacy
91% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports trader with a 91% win rate bought HOTU at 33¢, offering a clear copy-trade signal despite the modest size in a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up about $1.13M lifetime
- They have placed more than $7.4M across 337 markets, so this looks like a proven repeat trader rather than a one-off punt
- Bought HOTU at 33¢, a price that implies they see the underdog as materially undervalued
$1,137 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x5d58...9a15 — HOTU, $535,080 (91% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Legacy, $262,199 (53% win rate)
- 0x3b5c...126e — Legacy, $100,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — HOTU, $92,905 (68% win rate)
- 0x67bb...b6ef — Legacy, $88,956 (63% win rate)
- 0x9cb9...32f2 — Legacy, $30,000 (39% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Legacy, $20,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Legacy, $18,625 (68% win rate)
- 0xea79...a9cc — Legacy, $15,779 (66% win rate)
- 0x30c7...ac3b — Legacy, $13,603 (58% win rate)
