Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-3 lower bracket quarterfinal between Legacy and HOTU at IEM Rio Group B. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with a 50-50 resolution only if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $1,255 in smart money activity on this market, with recent signals showing notable interest on both Legacy and HOTU.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $252,231.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

73% win-rate serial bettor

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate sold Legacy at 50¢, which converts to a buy on HOTU at 50¢ in a liquid esports market.

  • This bettor has a long record: 897 wins across 1,226 resolved markets with $441.9k traded
  • They sold Legacy at 50¢, which is equivalent to buying HOTU at 50¢
  • The move came during a quick 11.5-point drop in Legacy, backing the HOTU side with momentum

$1,255 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor bought the dip

A proven high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate bought Legacy at 47¢ during a sharp intraday dip, and the market has already rebounded to 57%.

  • This bettor has won 897 of 1,226 resolved markets and has traded across 434 markets.
  • They bought Legacy at 47¢ during a fast 11.5-point drop, and the price is already up to 57¢.
  • The bet is small versus this wallet's history, but the entry suggests they saw the selloff as mispriced.

$1,388 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor bought the dip

A proven high-volume sports trader with 822 resolved bets bought Legacy at 43¢ right after a sharp drop, and the market has already rebounded to 57%.

  • This bettor has 822 resolved bets, wins 66% of them, and is up $160k overall
  • They bought Legacy at 43¢ during a fast 11.5-point drop, and the market is now 57¢
  • Entry at 43¢ offered strong upside if Legacy was mispriced, with a quick 14-point move already confirming demand

$2,480 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 66%

5-wallet HOTU wave

A 5-wallet one-sided push put $76.8k behind HOTU during an 87x volume spike, and this wallet is a proven high-volume cross-market bettor joining that move.

  • Five wallets piled into HOTU with $76.8k total, creating a clear one-sided signal.
  • This wallet has 640 resolved bets, wins 57% of them, and is up nearly $40k overall.
  • The move hit during an 87x jump in market activity and pushed Legacy down fast.

$1,314 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 57%

91% winner leads HOTU pile-in

A proven sharp wallet with a 91% win rate led a $214k one-sided push into HOTU, alongside a major pre-match volume spike and immediate price move.

  • A bettor who wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M made the bulk of this $214k HOTU buy wave.
  • Five wallets piled into HOTU in minutes, and the market moved about 11.5 points toward HOTU right after.
  • The buys went in around 53-57¢, suggesting this group saw HOTU as undervalued before the match started.

$214,316 on HOTU

8-wallet Legacy pile-in

A high-volume coordinated buy into Legacy is being led by a serial sports trader with a large sample size and 73% win rate, making this flow worth following despite the liquid market.

  • Eight wallets bought Legacy together for $49.7k, a strong one-sided signal on this match.
  • This wallet has made 1,226 resolved bets with a 73% win rate across 257 events.
  • Market activity exploded to 1,241x normal volume as Legacy was bought at 46¢ after a fast price drop.

$1,018 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 73%

8-wallet Legacy pile-in

A highly active profitable sports wallet joined a coordinated 8-wallet $49.7k buy into Legacy during an extreme pre-match volume surge, making this a notable directional signal despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor has 838 resolved trades, wins 63% of them, and is up $532k lifetime.
  • Eight wallets bought Legacy together for $49.7k as volume surged 1241x above normal before the match.
  • They entered at 45¢ while Legacy now sits around 46-47¢, showing coordinated conviction near even odds.

$5,311 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 63%

3-wallet HOTU sweep

Three active wallets with substantial betting history piled into HOTU at 60-83¢, including a 73% win-rate serial cross-market trader, and the coordinated flow pushed the price to 100%.

  • Three wallets all bet HOTU in a short burst, totaling just over $6k and driving a 22-point price jump.
  • One of the wallets wins 73% of resolved bets across 1,226 markets and has traded 434 markets across 258 events.
  • They bought HOTU as low as 60¢ and up to 83¢, suggesting they saw clear value before the market moved to 100¢.

$6,064 on HOTU

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly active and profitable sports trader with 706 resolved bets bought HOTU into a major pre-match volume spike and short-term price move, making this a credible follow signal despite the modest single-ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 706 resolved bets and is up $6.2M lifetime
  • The buy landed during a 141x surge in market activity as HOTU jumped 11.5 points in minutes
  • They bought HOTU at 54¢, a meaningful price on a liquid match market rather than a random thin-market punt

$3,604 on HOTU | Wallet win rate: 68%

4-wallet Legacy cluster

Four wallets, including two high-volume profitable cross-market traders, bought Legacy at 43-47¢ during a sharp volume spike and the price has already moved to 52%, suggesting coordinated conviction in a near-coinflip esports match.

  • Four wallets piled into Legacy at 43-47¢ and the price has already moved up to 52%
  • Two of the buyers are seasoned traders with 66% and 73% win rates across 800+ and 1,200+ resolved bets
  • This hit during an 87x volume spike, which is notable positioning in a match now trading near a coin flip

$6,667 on Legacy

Top Holders

  1. 0x5d58...9a15 HOTU, $535,080 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Legacy, $262,199 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x3b5c...126e Legacy, $100,000 (80% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ea...d96a HOTU, $92,905 (68% win rate)
  5. 0x67bb...b6ef Legacy, $88,956 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x9cb9...32f2 Legacy, $30,000 (39% win rate)
  7. 0xea2b...1fc6 Legacy, $20,000 (66% win rate)
  8. 0xffe1...29aa Legacy, $19,401
  9. 0x88d1...18da Legacy, $18,625 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xf7f0...912c HOTU, $16,481 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

1h$252,231 tracked16 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Legacy
0¢
HOTU
100¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Legacy and HOTU in the IEM Rio Group B, initially scheduled for April 14 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against HOTU. This market will resolve to "HOTU" if HOTU win the match against Legacy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “HOTU
102¢
65¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

2h ago

$1,255 on HOTU at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

3h ago

$1,388 on Legacy at 47¢

47¢0¢47¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

3h ago

$2,480 on Legacy at 43¢

43¢0¢43¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

3h ago

$1,314 on HOTU at 55¢

55¢100¢45¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

3h ago

$214,316 on HOTU at 56¢

56¢100¢44¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

3h ago

$1,018 on Legacy at 46¢

46¢0¢46¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

3h ago

$5,311 on Legacy at 45¢

45¢0¢45¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

2h ago

$6,064 on HOTU at 78¢

78¢100¢22¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

3h ago

$3,604 on HOTU at 54¢

54¢100¢46¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

3h ago

$6,667 on Legacy at 46¢

46¢0¢46¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

4h ago

$1,137 on HOTU at 33¢

33¢100¢67¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

5h ago

$2,815 on Legacy at 73¢

73¢0¢73¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

5h ago

$1,096 on HOTU at 28¢

28¢100¢72¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

17h ago

$1,045 on HOTU at 30¢

30¢100¢70¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

17h ago

$1,141 on Legacy at 70¢

70¢0¢70¢

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

20h ago

$1,581 on Legacy at 67¢

67¢0¢67¢

Related Theses

Legacy vs HOTU Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter