Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,315.
Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50
Notable Trades
80% win-rate serial trader
A serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate is taking a fresh directional position here, which is notable despite the modest size and meme-like market.
- This bettor wins 80% of 1,277 resolved trades across 118 markets.
- The trade is a sell of Yes at 51¢, which translates to buying No around 49¢.
- They trade repeatedly across related event markets, suggesting a process rather than a one-off bet.
$2,315 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $414,312
- 0x689a...779e — Yes, $43,842
- 0x5116...58c4 — Yes, $39,998 (41% win rate)
- 0xa59c...bb62 — Yes, $38,338
- 0x48c5...89f3 — Yes, $36,185
- 0x7579...94c6 — No, $35,576
- 0x02b4...7092 — Yes, $30,000
- 0x471a...0328 — Yes, $20,188
- 0x952c...be27 — Yes, $20,000
- 0xa638...1d87 — Yes, $14,107
