Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,315.

Categories: Culture, Politics, Tweet Markets, Rewards Automations 200 4.5 50

Notable Trades

80% win-rate serial trader

A serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate is taking a fresh directional position here, which is notable despite the modest size and meme-like market.

  • This bettor wins 80% of 1,277 resolved trades across 118 markets.
  • The trade is a sell of Yes at 51¢, which translates to buying No around 49¢.
  • They trade repeatedly across related event markets, suggesting a process rather than a one-off bet.

$2,315 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 70060969, $414,403
  2. 0xa59c...bb62 Outcome 54881255, $41,337
  3. 0x5116...58c4 Outcome 54881255, $39,998 (41% win rate)
  4. 0x48c5...89f3 Outcome 54881255, $36,185
  5. 0x7579...94c6 Outcome 70060969, $35,576
  6. 0x471a...0328 Outcome 54881255, $20,188
  7. 0x952c...be27 Outcome 54881255, $20,000
  8. 0x8eab...a56d Outcome 54881255, $11,400
  9. 0xb796...58a8 Outcome 54881255, $10,000
  10. 0xfafe...2e34 Outcome 54881255, $9,652 (44% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Resolved$2,315 tracked1 signalCulturePoliticsTweet MarketsRewards Automations 200 4.5 50

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 3 12:00 PM ET to April 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Price History — “Yes
102¢
58¢
13¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

7h ago

$2,315 on No at 49¢

Related Theses

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | PolySpotter