Part of: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 31 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $287,896.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Four-wallet Reds conviction cluster
A four-wallet Cincinnati cluster committed $108k amid a 94.8x volume spike, with this wallet adding $85.5k before the price surged to 96%.
- Four wallets bought Cincinnati for a combined $108,127 as market activity ran 94.8 times above its historical average.
- This wallet added $85,544 to an existing Reds position, with its weighted entry near 70¢ and the outcome now priced around 96¢.
- The move pushed Cincinnati’s price up 17 percentage points, though the wallet’s 49% lifetime win rate is not independently strong.
$85,544 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 48%
Five-wallet Pirates buying cluster
A linked five-wallet cluster is buying Pittsburgh alongside a highly profitable trader, while the trader’s Reds sale appears to be a small profit-taking trim from a large existing position.
- Five linked wallets bought Pittsburgh for $37,718, creating a concentrated one-sided signal.
- The involved bettor has won 95% of 19 resolved positions and is up $387,687, with a 56¢ average winning entry.
- The individual $2,805 Reds sale is likely profit-taking from a $45,174 Reds position, so the cluster is stronger evidence than this single sale.
$2,805 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial bettor backs Cincinnati
A highly experienced profitable bettor with 4,728 resolved trades and a meaningful win-rate edge is backing Cincinnati despite the market moving against the position.
- This bettor wins 64% of 4,728 resolved trades and is up $2.1 million lifetime.
- They made a concentrated $3,013 bet on Cincinnati across two entries, including one at 38¢.
- The market has moved to 40% Cincinnati, below the bettor’s roughly 45¢ blended entry, creating a potentially better copy price.
$2,673 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 67%
Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
- This bettor has won 64% of 4,728 resolved bets and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They bought Cincinnati at 38%, and the market has since moved to 50%, suggesting the position was well timed.
- The trader has participated across 609 events and nearly $11.4M in volume, providing substantial track-record context.
$2,514 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 67%
$85K Reds conviction cluster
Four wallets deployed $85.7K on Cincinnati at 60-66 cents amid an 88x volume spike and a major price move, with meaningful support from profitable bettors.
- Four wallets bought $85,701 of Cincinnati at 60-66 cents, creating a strong concentrated pre-event signal.
- The market moved sharply toward Cincinnati, from roughly 46% to 92%, alongside an 88x historical volume spike.
- Two major participants are lifetime-profitable, including one up $1.0M across $27.1M invested; several wallets were adding to existing Reds positions.
$85,701 on Cincinnati Reds
Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
- This bettor has won 64% of 4,728 resolved bets and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They bought Cincinnati at 38%, and the market has since moved to 50%, suggesting the position was well timed.
- The trader has participated across 609 events and nearly $11.4M in volume, providing substantial track-record context.
$1,415 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial bettor backs Cincinnati
A highly experienced profitable bettor with 4,728 resolved trades and a meaningful win-rate edge is backing Cincinnati despite the market moving against the position.
- This bettor wins 64% of 4,728 resolved trades and is up $2.1 million lifetime.
- They made a concentrated $3,013 bet on Cincinnati across two entries, including one at 38¢.
- The market has moved to 40% Cincinnati, below the bettor’s roughly 45¢ blended entry, creating a potentially better copy price.
$3,013 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable bettor leads Pirates cluster
Three wallets committed $5.3K to Pittsburgh, including a highly profitable 61% winner, though the cluster lacks uniform quality and the market has moved against them.
- A 61% winner across 12,656 resolved bets and $1.6M profit bought Pittsburgh at 60¢.
- Three wallets committed $5,341 to Pittsburgh between 59¢ and 66%, signaling coordinated conviction.
- The price has since fallen to 50¢, while one participant is a long-term losing bettor and another is hedged with Cincinnati exposure.
$5,341 on Pittsburgh Pirates
Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
- This bettor has won 64% of 4,728 resolved bets and is up $2.1M lifetime.
- They bought Cincinnati at 38%, and the market has since moved to 50%, suggesting the position was well timed.
- The trader has participated across 609 events and nearly $11.4M in volume, providing substantial track-record context.
$1,598 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 67%
Sharp bettor scales into Pirates
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $97,292 to an existing Pirates position at 54 cents.
- This bettor has won 28 of 31 resolved positions, with a $1.26 million lifetime profit.
- They added $97,292 to an existing Pirates position at 54 cents, showing strong conviction rather than a casual wager.
- The bet was larger than the market's recent trading volume, despite the market having ample overall liquidity.
$97,292 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 90%
Related Theses
Team Liquid beats Spirit
Covers 3 related markets
Bears beat Eagles outright
Covers 3 related markets
Ole Miss beats LSU outright
Covers 3 related markets
Panthers win in a low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
SMU wins a low-scoring game
Covers 4 related markets
Rams win, Broncos cover most spreads
Covers 8 related markets
Seahawks win in a shootout
Covers 4 related markets
Delaware wins a high-scoring shootout
Covers 4 related markets
Louisville beats SMU decisively
Covers 3 related markets
LSU narrowly wins a shootout
Covers 4 related markets
