Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
12 signals across 2 markets · $315,838 tracked · resolves Aug 7, 2026
The Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds prediction market tracks betting on the July 31 MLB matchup, including whether the game total finishes over or under 7.5 runs. PolySpotter is monitoring $2,350 in smart money, including a signal from a serial bettor with a 99% win rate buying the Under.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- $85K Reds conviction cluster
Four wallets deployed $85.7K on Cincinnati at 60-66 cents amid an 88x volume spike and a major price move, with meaningful support from profitable bettors.
$85,701Score: 9.7 - Five-wallet Pirates buying cluster
A linked five-wallet cluster is buying Pittsburgh alongside a highly profitable trader, while the trader’s Reds sale appears to be a small profit-taking trim from a large existing position.
$2,805Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 9.2 - Sharp bettors stack the Under
Three substantial bettors, including an 88% historically profitable trader, concentrated $25.6K on Under at 47¢ amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
$25,592Score: 7.2 - Four-wallet Reds conviction cluster
A four-wallet Cincinnati cluster committed $108k amid a 94.8x volume spike, with this wallet adding $85.5k before the price surged to 96%.
$85,544Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 7.1 - Sharp bettor scales into Pirates
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $97,292 to an existing Pirates position at 54 cents.
$97,292Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 5.6 - Profitable bettor leads Pirates cluster
Three wallets committed $5.3K to Pittsburgh, including a highly profitable 61% winner, though the cluster lacks uniform quality and the market has moved against them.
$5,341Score: 5.6 - 99% win-rate serial bettor buys Under
A highly proven serial trader with a 99% win rate and $16.4M profit is taking a fresh position on Under at 47%.
$2,350Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
$1,415Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.4 - Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
$1,598Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.4 - Proven serial trader bought Reds early
A highly experienced serial trader with 4,728 resolved bets and $2.1M profit bought Cincinnati at 38%, but the price has already risen to 50%, making the original entry attractive but current copying less so.
$2,514Wallet win rate: 64%Score: 3.4
Top wallets in this event
- 0x4d4f13…e5f3$97,292 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x6d20c3…a165$85,544 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0x224a89…a3d5$11,213 · 1 market · 5 alerts · 64% wins
- 0xfe5428…41d6$2,805 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$2,350 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
FAQs
What are the Pirates vs. Reds prediction-market odds?
The event includes a Polymarket market on whether the Pirates-Reds game total goes over or under 7.5 runs. Current prices and implied odds are shown on the live market page.
What is smart money doing in the Pirates vs. Reds market?
PolySpotter tracks $2,350 in smart money across the event. The latest alert reports that a serial bettor with a 99% win rate bought the Under.
What outcome is the Pirates vs. Reds market trading?
The available child market trades the game total: Over 7.5 runs versus Under 7.5 runs. The event metadata also identifies the matchup as Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds.
When does the Pirates vs. Reds prediction market resolve?
The game is scheduled for July 31 at 6:10 PM ET, and the market is expected to resolve after the game is completed. If it is canceled without a makeup game or ends in a tie, the listed rules apply.