Part of: Patriots vs. Bills
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if the Bills win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Patriots". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $410,922.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
5-wallet, $293K Bills cluster
Five wallets committed $292,684 to Bills, alongside a major volume spike and a proven bettor with a strong record buying at 53¢.
- Five wallets put $292,684 on Bills at 53¢, a substantial one-sided position.
- One participating bettor has won 808 of 900 resolved trades and is up $1.16M lifetime.
- Trading volume spiked to 133.6 times its historical average as Bills odds rose 8.5% over the week.
$292,684 on Bills
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable, heavily active bettor added $9,210 to an existing Patriots position, with a volume spike offering additional corroboration.
- This bettor has won 72% of 3,142 resolved bets and is up $748,621 lifetime.
- They added $9,210 to a Patriots position already worth about $19,596, keeping the entry at 47¢.
- Trading activity was 24.8 times the market’s historical average during the scan window.
$9,210 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable serial bettor backs Bills
A highly profitable bettor with a substantial track record bought Bills at 53¢ amid a 12.8x volume spike.
- This bettor is up $2.16M across 569 resolved bets, with a 65% win rate.
- They bought Bills at 53¢ as market volume surged to 12.8x its historical average.
- The bettor has traded across 301 events, bringing a large and active track record.
$1,682 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial trader adds to Bills
A highly profitable serial trader with a 70% win rate is adding $74,237 to an existing Bills position.
- This bettor has won 70% of 678 resolved bets and is up $7.15 million.
- They added $74,237 to an existing Bills position, bringing their reported investment on this market to over $217,000.
- The trader has placed bets across 535 events, and the Bills are available near their 52¢ entry.
$74,237 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 71%
Proven 84% winner backs Bills
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and substantial edge is buying Bills at 53¢ in a liquid NFL market.
- This bettor has won 224 of 267 resolved positions and is up $357,702.
- They are buying Bills at 53¢, while the market has risen 11% over the past week.
- The bettor has traded across 126 events, with $341,872 in total activity.
$1,060 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 84%
95% winner adding to Patriots
A highly profitable bettor with 814 resolved positions and a 95% win rate is adding $32,048 to Patriots at 48¢.
- This bettor has won 95% of 814 resolved positions and is up $6.4M.
- They added another $32,048 to Patriots at 48¢, increasing an already sizable position.
- The market has only $189 in 24-hour volume, while the wallet has traded across 801 events.
$32,048 on Patriots | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xc807...c12b — Bills, $142,806 (71% win rate)
- 0xa904...d20c — Bills, $86,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xe178...fe19 — Bills, $61,405 (100% win rate)
- 0x684b...8409 — Bills, $59,660 (92% win rate)
- 0x1d1a...0df6 — Bills, $37,275 (63% win rate)
- 0x7a88...41cc — Bills, $27,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x8660...93ed — Bills, $20,000 (96% win rate)
- 0x201c...58bf — Bills, $20,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x1c3f...e87c — Bills, $15,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x2b33...beb6 — Bills, $9,170
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