Patriots vs. Bills
46 signals across 20 markets · $763,773 tracked · resolves Oct 4, 2026
The Patriots vs. Bills Polymarket event features a Bills -6.5 spread market for their scheduled October 4, 2026 game. PolySpotter tracks $32,048 in smart money across the event and reports one recent signal: a trader with a 95% win rate adding to the Patriots.

Markets (20)
- Spread: Bills (-6.5)6 signals · $410,922 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 49.56 signals · $78,213 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills4 signals · $67,615 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 57.52 signals · $47,001 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 50.53 signals · $46,590 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-7.5)5 signals · $41,494 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 51.52 signals · $14,963 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 48.52 signals · $14,635 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 52.52 signals · $7,837 tracked
- 1H Spread: Bills (-4.5)2 signals · $7,268 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-1.5)2 signals · $4,686 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-2.5)1 signal · $4,414 tracked
- Spread: Patriots (-2.5)1 signal · $3,522 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 58.51 signal · $3,417 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 45.52 signals · $3,000 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 53.51 signal · $2,961 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-8.5)1 signal · $2,059 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-3.5)1 signal · $1,100 tracked
- Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 54.51 signal · $1,077 tracked
- Spread: Bills (-10.5)1 signal · $1,000 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Seven-wallet Patriots accumulation
Seven wallets made roughly $50.7K of Patriots-equivalent positioning, including profitable bettors, though opposing Bills activity and the Patriots’ price decline temper the signal.
$52,974Score: 9.6 - Six-wallet Bills cluster with proven sharp
A $153K six-wallet Bills cluster coincides with a sharp bettor’s strong long-term record and a substantial market move.
$12,132Score: 9.0 - 5-wallet, $293K Bills cluster
Five wallets committed $292,684 to Bills, alongside a major volume spike and a proven bettor with a strong record buying at 53¢.
$292,684Score: 8.5 - Six-wallet Bills buying cluster
Six wallets put $24,544 on Bills, supported by an 11.7x event-volume spike, though this bettor's own positions are mixed and their record does not establish an odds-adjusted edge.
$10,400Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 7.4 - Sharp bettor leads coordinated Under buying
A proven 92%-win-rate bettor leads a $25K three-wallet Under position amid a 51.7x volume spike.
$25,159Score: 7.0 - 81% winner scaling into Patriots
A proven high-performing trader with 1,060 resolved positions bought about $4,414 of Patriots across three trades and is active across eight markets in this event.
$4,414Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.7 - Proven bettor with strong event positioning
A highly profitable bettor with 1,060 resolved positions bought Bills at 54¢, and the market has since moved to 62¢ amid substantial positioning across this event.
$3,522Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.4 - Proven 81% winner betting Under
A highly profitable bettor with 1,060 resolved positions is buying Under, and has positioned across three markets in this event.
$1,689Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.4 - Five-wallet cluster with proven bettors
Five wallets committed $35,150 to Bills, including proven profitable bettors, alongside a major volume spike despite falling odds.
$32,985Score: 6.1 - 95% winner adding to Patriots
A highly profitable bettor with 814 resolved positions and a 95% win rate is adding $32,048 to Patriots at 48¢.
$32,048Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xc80756…c12b$74,237 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x526852…135d$71,552 · 5 markets · 6 alerts · 55% wins
- 0xe18ecc…f826$60,027 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 92% wins
- 0x16bb99…8492$32,048 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x924379…658e$20,416 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xd38b71…5029$15,380 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 81% wins
- 0xdc41c3…dd7e$11,744 · 1 market · 1 alert · 46% wins
- 0x191f77…4a8d$9,210 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xd6966e…8a49$7,268 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0x6055af…5fde$4,000 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 89% wins
FAQs
What are the Patriots vs. Bills prediction-market odds?
This event hub covers the Bills -6.5 spread market. Check the live market for current odds, which can change as traders buy and sell.
What is smart money doing on Patriots vs. Bills?
PolySpotter reports one recent signal: a trader with a 95% win rate added to the Patriots. The event has $32,048 in tracked smart money.
What outcome does the Bills -6.5 market track?
It tracks whether the Bills cover the 6.5-point spread against the Patriots. Review the market page for its specific settlement terms.
When does the Patriots vs. Bills market resolve?
The game is scheduled for October 4, 2026, at 1:00 p.m. ET. If it is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed.