Part of: US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev

US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $331,676.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Rublev buying cluster

A major pre-event volume spike and three-wallet coordinated buying support Rublev, though the trader already holds large positions on both sides.

Three wallets bought Andrey Rublev together for $131,837 during an 882x surge over normal volume.
This bettor has a $3.6M lifetime profit across 7,364 resolved trades, though its 61% win rate is only moderate.
The wallet is adding to an existing Rublev position while also holding substantial Merida exposure, so the trade may be partly hedged.

$104,000 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp bettor leads Rublev cluster

A four-wallet, $117,000 one-sided push toward Andrey Rublev includes a highly profitable bettor with an exceptional 84% win rate and a major volume spike.

Four wallets bought Andrey Rublev for $117,023, including a $104,000 purchase at 52¢.
One bettor has won 84% of 126 resolved positions, earning $1.64M while typically buying at 38¢.
Trading surged to 53.6 times its historical rate, and Rublev has already moved from roughly 52¢ to 57¢.

$117,023 on Andrey Rublev

Four-wallet Rublev buying cluster

A four-wallet, $300K one-sided Rublev flow and extreme pre-event volume spike are compelling, despite this wallet's poor record and existing two-sided exposure.

Four wallets have bought Andrey Rublev for a combined $300,114, creating a strong one-sided signal.
Trading volume reached 1,358 times its historical average ahead of the match, suggesting unusually informed or urgent positioning.
This individual wallet added $79,605 at 61¢, but its 48% win rate and existing positions on both players make its personal trade record unreliable.

$79,605 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 50%

Sharp wallets backing Daniel Merida Aguilar

Four wallets committed $65,160 to Daniel Merida Aguilar, including two highly profitable bettors with 92% and 97% historical win rates, amid an extreme volume spike.

Two participating bettors have won 92% and 97% of more than 6,300 resolved positions combined.
Four wallets bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 39–40¢, committing $65,160 while the market experienced a 1,358× volume spike.
The position is being added near the 38% market price, implying meaningful upside if Daniel advances.

$20,602 on Daniel Merida Aguilar

Three-wallet Rublev buying cluster

A major pre-event volume spike and three-wallet coordinated buying support Rublev, though the trader already holds large positions on both sides.

Three wallets bought Andrey Rublev together for $131,837 during an 882x surge over normal volume.
This bettor has a $3.6M lifetime profit across 7,364 resolved trades, though its 61% win rate is only moderate.
The wallet is adding to an existing Rublev position while also holding substantial Merida exposure, so the trade may be partly hedged.

$5,846 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 56%

97% winner adds to underdog

A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is adding to Daniel Merida Aguilar amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 97% of 1,607 resolved positions and is up $483,000.
The wallet is adding to an existing Daniel Merida Aguilar position at 40¢ while the market is near 39¢.
Market volume is running about 301 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong activity around the match.

$1,385 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 98%

99% winner backs Rublev

A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $3,216 bet on Andrey Rublev.

This bettor has won 2,159 of 2,182 resolved positions, with $18.0M in reported profit.
The $3,217 purchase of Rublev at 59¢ is a fresh position from a trader active across 1,468 markets.
The entry implies the bettor sees Rublev as meaningfully undervalued versus the roughly 60% market price.

$3,217 on Andrey Rublev | Wallet win rate: 99%