Part of: Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,256.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying underdog

Three serial sports bettors, including one up $6.6M lifetime, bought Nationals longshot shares together despite the market moving against them.

  • A bettor up $6.6M lifetime is part of this 3-wallet move into the Nationals.
  • All three wallets bought the same underdog within seconds, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • They entered around 24–25¢ while the market is now 16¢, making the current price cheaper than the cluster’s entry.

$3,156 on Washington Nationals

Three-wallet Reds surge

Three wallets put $67k on Cincinnati in a short window, combining one-sided flow with a major pre-game volume spike despite mixed wallet track records.

  • Three wallets bought $67k of Cincinnati in about 8 minutes at 59¢.
  • The market saw a 1126x pre-game volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy positioning.
  • One of the larger buyers is up $726k lifetime across 743 resolved trades.

$67,210 on Cincinnati Reds

81% winner fading favorite

Sharp wallet with 81% historical win rate is effectively backing Washington by selling Cincinnati at 58¢ in a liquid MLB market.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 227 resolved positions and is up $4,943 lifetime.
  • Selling Cincinnati at 58¢ is equivalent to buying Washington at 42¢.
  • Their average winning entry is 34¢, so they have a strong record finding underpriced teams.

$2,139 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with $1.31M lifetime profit is buying Washington at 41¢ in a relatively quiet MLB market.

  • This bettor has won 67% of nearly 3,000 resolved bets and is up $1.31M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,526 events, suggesting a seasoned cross-market sports strategy.
  • The $1.75K buy is large for this market, equal to nearly half of the past day’s volume.

$1,751 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc660...bd28 Outcome 11273726, $48,400 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 11273726, $29,910 (72% win rate)
  3. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 11273726, $17,917 (68% win rate)
  4. 0xbd14...d62a Outcome 11273726, $7,143 (96% win rate)
  5. 0xef1b...8697 Outcome 11273726, $6,647 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 11273726, $5,479
  7. 0x6ba9...c25f Outcome 11273726, $5,000
  8. 0xb8c8...d8a4 Outcome 11273726, $2,857 (89% win rate)
  9. 0xa974...ef79 Outcome 11273726, $2,711 (83% win rate)
  10. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 11273726, $1,405 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

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High-scoring outcome volatility

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Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

ResolvedWashington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds$74,256 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for May 14 at 12:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

WSH
1
21-23
Final
CIN
15
23-21
WSH +134CIN -162O/U 7.5
Venue
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Attendance
22,651
Price History — “Cincinnati Reds
99¢
73¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

8d ago

$3,156 on Washington Nationals at 24¢

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

8d ago

$67,210 on Cincinnati Reds at 59¢

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

8d ago

$2,139 on Washington Nationals at 42¢

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds

8d ago

$1,751 on Washington Nationals at 41¢

Related Theses

Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds | PolySpotter