Part of: Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

This prediction market asks whether Lee Jae-myung will cease to be President of South Korea at any point before the end of 2026. It resolves “Yes” if he resigns, is removed, is detained or otherwise effectively leaves office during the market period, and “No” if he remains president through December 31, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,151 in smart money activity, including a recent alert showing a 94% winner buying YES.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,151.

Categories: Politics, South Korea

Notable Trades

94% winner buying YES

Sharp-wallet override: a 94% historical winner with positive P&L is effectively buying Yes on a volatile political removal market despite only a modest signal score.

  • This bettor has won 31 of 33 resolved bets and is up $1,636 lifetime.
  • They effectively bought Yes at 31¢, taking the side that Lee Jae-myung leaves office before 2027.
  • The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 17.8 percentage points in the past day.

$1,151 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x44bb...c186 — Yes, $24,838
  2. 0x7629...6141 — No, $6,399 (97% win rate)
  3. 0x67fa...e90f — No, $5,859 (84% win rate)
  4. 0xd5b9...e44e — No, $4,145 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x60a3...378d — Yes, $4,129
  6. 0x60c3...647a — Yes, $2,923
  7. 0xe231...4e3e — No, $2,121
  8. 0x1521...f23e — No, $2,075 (69% win rate)
  9. 0xddf5...90aa — No, $1,409
  10. 0xb254...9c31 — No, $1,325

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

202dLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?$1,151 tracked1 signalPoliticsSouth Korea
Yes
10¢
No
90¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Jae-myung ceases to be the President of South Korea for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lee Jae-myung's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lee Jae-myung and the government of South Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No”
94¢
88¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

30d ago

$1,151 on Yes at 31¢

31¢→10¢↓21¢

Related Theses

Kim Boo-kyum wins Daegu mayoral race
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