Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,787.
Categories: Up or Down, Daily, Indicies, SPX, Finance, Daily-Close, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer buys late
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought $10.2k of Up into a major volume spike about 40 minutes before SPX market resolution.
- This near-close trader is up $134k lifetime across 2,465 resolved bets.
- They bought $10.2k of Up about 40 minutes before resolution, paying 81–84¢.
- Market activity is 53x normal and Up has already moved +28 points today.
$10,179 on Up | Wallet win rate: 50%
93% serial trader exits Up
Surfaced due to a serial cross-market trader with a 93% resolved win rate selling Up near resolution, though the prior Up position suggests this may be position management rather than a clean new short.
- This bettor has won 93% of 269 resolved markets across 142 events, making the wallet worth tracking despite modest lifetime losses.
- They sold Up 42 minutes before resolution after the market jumped nearly 30 points today.
- This looks partly like closing an existing Up position, so the copy signal is weaker than a fresh bet.
$2,460 on Down | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution trader with large lifetime profit is adding a $6.3k Up bet 43 minutes before SPX close amid a major volume and price spike.
- This bettor is up $142,821 lifetime and has a pattern of betting close to resolution across multiple markets.
- They bought $6,266 of Up about 43 minutes before the SPX market closes.
- The market has seen a 16x volume spike and Up has moved nearly 30 percentage points in the last day.
$6,265 on Up | Wallet win rate: 50%
6-wallet funded cluster
A known 6-wallet funded cluster is backing Up, but this specific wallet has only a modest 53% win rate and the bet is small relative to market volume.
- Six wallets from the same funder are active on this side, a coordinated-flow signal that has appeared in prior runs.
- This wallet is profitable overall, up $6.3K on $136.7K invested across 503 resolved bets.
- The cluster bought Up around 73¢ after an 8.5-point daily move, suggesting continued momentum positioning.
$1,883 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xf5bc...2c49 — Outcome 34219957, $22,480 (42% win rate)
- 0x66dc...adc8 — Outcome 34219957, $10,000
- 0x7ba5...b5b8 — Outcome 34219957, $1,290
- 0x27a2...c4de — Outcome 34219957, $566
- 0x11a4...8b06 — Outcome 34219957, $528
- 0x8c1b...63dd — Outcome 34219957, $469 (92% win rate)
- 0x648c...09c6 — Outcome 34219957, $448
- 0xdd4b...5889 — Outcome 34219957, $375
- 0x1186...051b — Outcome 34219957, $267 (64% win rate)
- 0x2f63...f247 — Outcome 34219957, $216 (84% win rate)
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