Part of: US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula

US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,620.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader buys Pegula amid volume spike

A highly experienced serial trader bought Pegula during a 50x volume spike, though the wallet's historical record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

This wallet has traded 3,903 markets with a $6.7 million lifetime profit and 70% win rate.
The $1,059 Pegula purchase came during a 50.5x historical volume spike, with the price already moving from 36¢ to 38¢.
The wallet bought Pegula at 36¢, implying roughly a 2.8x return if she advances.

$2,704 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 70%

Serial trader buys Pegula amid volume spike

A highly experienced serial trader bought Pegula during a 50x volume spike, though the wallet's historical record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

This wallet has traded 3,903 markets with a $6.7 million lifetime profit and 70% win rate.
The $1,059 Pegula purchase came during a 50.5x historical volume spike, with the price already moving from 36¢ to 38¢.
The wallet bought Pegula at 36¢, implying roughly a 2.8x return if she advances.

$1,487 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven bettor scaling into Sabalenka

A proven bettor with 455 resolved trades is adding to an existing Sabalenka position amid a major volume surge and 19-point price move.

This bettor has won 80% of 455 resolved trades and is up $20,041 overall.
They are adding to an existing Sabalenka position after a 42x volume surge and 19-point price jump.
The new entry is 83¢, implying the bettor still sees value despite Sabalenka already being an 82% favorite.

$1,079 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 82%

93% win-rate bettor backs Sabalenka

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and 2,637 resolved positions bought Sabalenka amid a major volume spike and rapid price move.

This bettor wins 93% of 2,637 resolved positions and is up $2.27 million.
The $1,000 Sabalenka purchase coincided with a 50.5x volume spike and a 19-point rapid price move.
The 64¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite current odds near 62¢.

$1,000 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 93%

Serial trader buys Pegula amid volume spike

A highly experienced serial trader bought Pegula during a 50x volume spike, though the wallet's historical record does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.

This wallet has traded 3,903 markets with a $6.7 million lifetime profit and 70% win rate.
The $1,059 Pegula purchase came during a 50.5x historical volume spike, with the price already moving from 36¢ to 38¢.
The wallet bought Pegula at 36¢, implying roughly a 2.8x return if she advances.

$1,059 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 70%

Four-wallet Pegula buying surge

Four wallets deployed $62K on Pegula amid a 117x volume spike, creating a notable coordinated contrarian position despite weak track records and substantial existing exposure.

Four wallets bought $62,336 on Jessica Pegula while the market priced her at just 36–37%.
Trading volume reached 117 times its historical average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest in this matchup.
Most wallets were adding to large existing Pegula positions, but their historical results are mixed and do not establish a proven edge.

$62,336 on Jessica Pegula

Serial sharp backs Pegula underdog

A highly experienced serial trader with a 71% win rate backed Jessica Pegula amid a 68.7x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 71% of 458 resolved trades and is up $290,229.
The $1,800 Pegula purchase came during a 68.7x surge over the market’s historical trading volume.
Entry at 37¢ implies the trader sees meaningful value on the 36% current underdog.

$1,800 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp bettor scaling into Sabalenka

A highly profitable tennis bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding $5,000 to an existing Sabalenka position.

This bettor has won 85% of 702 resolved trades and is up $416,167.
They are adding $5,000 to an existing Sabalenka position rather than making a one-off bet.
The 64¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Sabalenka already being favored.

$5,000 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 88%

94% win-rate bettor adds to Sabalenka

A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate is adding to an existing Sabalenka position at 64 cents.

This bettor has won 94% of 197 resolved trades and is up $230,532.
They are adding to an existing $3,741 Sabalenka position rather than taking a routine profit.
The 64¢ entry is below the bettor’s 69¢ average winning price, despite Sabalenka already being favored at 64%.

$2,386 on Aryna Sabalenka | Wallet win rate: 95%

94% win-rate bettor backs Pegula

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge bought $7,770 of Jessica Pegula at 37¢.

This bettor has won 94% of 293 resolved trades and is up $3.4 million.
They bought $7,770 of Jessica Pegula at 37¢ despite the market pricing her near 36%.
The wallet has traded across 461 markets, indicating an unusually deep and consistent track record.

$7,770 on Jessica Pegula | Wallet win rate: 95%