This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $23,487 lifetime. They put $1,034 on No in a thin market with only $608 of liquidity and a 28¢ spread. Their 51¢ entry has already moved toward 65¢, so the edge is less attractive above the low 60s.

Part of: World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout

Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,381.

Categories: Sports, Tournament Futures, world cup, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, 2026 FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

94% winner World Cup thesis

Sharp profitable wallet with a 94% resolved-bet win rate is adding a cross-market World Cup thesis by buying No on 7+ penalty shootouts.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $44.7K lifetime.
They have positioned across 4 related World Cup markets with $25.2K total exposure.
Buying No at 67¢ suggests they think 7+ penalty shootouts is overpriced.

$1,347 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

89% winner buying No

Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because the wallet has a very large positive track record and bought No in a thin, wide-spread market.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $23,487 lifetime.
They put $1,034 on No in a thin market with only $608 of liquidity and a 28¢ spread.
Their 51¢ entry has already moved toward 65¢, so the edge is less attractive above the low 60s.

$1,034 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0x2b3d...8db7 — Outcome 11154552, $7,054 (23% win rate)
0xd5d8...e9a1 — Outcome 11154552, $6,500 (59% win rate)
0x0c99...87cf — Outcome 11154552, $4,645
0x8de2...8483 — Outcome 11154552, $1,228 (88% win rate)
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 11154552, $1,000
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 11154552, $1,000
0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 11154552, $502
0x51a2...051b — Outcome 11154552, $421
0x9bf6...4a06 — Outcome 11154552, $400
0x476c...ce52 — Outcome 11154552, $367

Related Theses

Established nations reach knockouts

Covers 7 related markets

World Cup shootouts stay under six

Covers 4 related markets

Four to six shootouts

Covers 4 related markets

Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout$2,381 tracked2 signalsSportsTournament Futuresworld cupFIFA World CupSoccer2026 FIFA World Cup

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.