Part of: Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
This Polymarket prediction market covers the September 18 MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for 6:40 PM ET. The market resolves to the winning team; smart-money activity currently shows several experienced bettors backing Pittsburgh. If the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $58,553.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Serial sharp scaling into Pittsburgh
A highly experienced serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate is adding to a sizable Pirates position amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 70% of 2,322 resolved trades and is up $176,443 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,585 to an existing Pittsburgh position, bringing their investment to roughly $4,023.
- The market saw a 33.1x historical volume surge while Pittsburgh remains priced near 79%.
$1,585 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 65%
Proven bettor backs Pirates
A highly experienced bettor with a 66% win rate and $9.7M lifetime profit made a concentrated Pirates purchase amid a 33x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 66% of 8,937 resolved trades and is up $9.7 million lifetime.
- They invested $6,833 across three Pirates buys, with a weighted entry near 75¢.
- Trading activity was 33 times the historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$6,833 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 66%
87% winner joins Pirates cluster
Three wallets committed $13,019 to Pittsburgh, including an exceptional 87%-win-rate bettor, though two were adding to existing positions and the market is already liquid.
- A bettor who wins 87% of 817 resolved trades and is up $680,135 bought Pittsburgh at 58¢.
- Three wallets put $13,019 on Pittsburgh, while the market saw a 26.6x volume spike and moved 4% in one day.
- Two wallets were adding to existing Pittsburgh positions, so the cluster signals conviction but is not entirely fresh positioning.
$13,019 on Pittsburgh Pirates
Profitable bettor caught Royals move
A highly profitable, experienced bettor made a concentrated Royals wager during an extreme pre-event volume spike, and the price has since risen 12 percentage points.
- This bettor has won 66% of 8,935 resolved trades and is up $9.7 million lifetime.
- The $5,825 Royals wager came at 36¢, with the market subsequently climbing to 48¢.
- Trading volume was 450 times its historical average, adding weight to the directional signal.
$5,825 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable bettor scales into Pirates
A highly profitable serial trader added $29,700 to an existing Pirates position, creating a meaningful conviction signal despite the absence of a formal sharp-bettor alert.
- This bettor is up $1.21 million across 896 resolved bets while winning 64% of them.
- They added $29,700 to Pittsburgh at 64¢, reportedly representing 484% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The trade increases an existing $46,406 Pirates position, signaling sustained conviction rather than a new one-off bet.
$29,700 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 65%
91% win-rate bettor adds to Pirates
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Pittsburgh position at 64 cents.
- This bettor has won 79 of 87 resolved positions and is up $120,545 lifetime.
- They are adding $1,591 to an existing Pittsburgh position, bringing total investment to roughly $5,656.
- The Pirates are priced at 64 cents, while this bettor’s historical results suggest unusually strong performance relative to typical entry odds.
$1,591 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xa084...bb99 — Outcome 10407172, $53,557 (91% win rate)
- 0x66b2...0fdf — Outcome 10407172, $35,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xcd84...bec6 — Outcome 10407172, $29,599
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 10407172, $15,221
- 0x78e5...1bae — Outcome 10407172, $2,239 (100% win rate)
- 0x55b9...a814 — Outcome 10407172, $1,706 (62% win rate)
- 0xa24e...1be8 — Outcome 10407172, $1,323 (71% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 10407172, $1,063 (55% win rate)
- 0xc291...5d74 — Outcome 10407172, $1,031 (66% win rate)
- 0x6bc7...c4a9 — Outcome 10407172, $1,020
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