Part of: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $14,175.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Serial winner fades favorite

A highly experienced, profitable sports trader sold Cubs at 73¢ during a sharp market move, effectively taking the Reds side with a long track record behind it.

This bettor has won 71% of over 15,000 resolved trades and is up $157K lifetime.
They effectively bought Cincinnati at 27¢ while the market now prices it near 20¢.
The Cubs price jumped 30 points in under 4 minutes, making this a notable contrarian fade.

$1,383 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 69%

Momentum swing toward Cubs

Large pre-game volume spike and a rapid 30-point move toward the Cubs make this a notable momentum alert despite the trade being modest relative to market liquidity.

A 39x volume spike hit this game as prices swung about 30 points toward the Cubs.
The trade sold Reds at 69¢, which is equivalent to buying Cubs around 31¢.
This wallet has traded $30.6M on Polymarket and is up about $343K lifetime.

$2,009 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 42%

Profitable sports regular backing Reds

Profitable high-volume sports trader put $8k on Cincinnati amid a major pre-game volume spike and a sharp 18-point move toward the Reds.

This bettor is up $72.6k across 239 resolved markets with a 58% win rate.
They bought $8k of Cincinnati at 56¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
This game saw a 91x pre-event volume spike, with Cincinnati up 18 points over the past day.

$8,032 on Cincinnati Reds | Wallet win rate: 72%

3-wallet funded Cubs cluster

Three wallets funded by the same address are taking the Cubs side, but the signal is mainly coordination rather than a proven sharp bettor record.

Three wallets funded by the same address have put about $4.1K behind the same side.
The shared funder has appeared in prior alerts, suggesting this is a recurring coordinated bettor pattern.
Entry around 61¢ implies the cluster sees value despite the Cubs already being favored.

$2,750 on Chicago Cubs | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 69464609, $23,324 (63% win rate)
0x99a7...fc82 — Outcome 69464609, $16,217 (63% win rate)
0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 69464609, $14,499 (97% win rate)
0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 69464609, $7,722 (75% win rate)
0x3625...1187 — Outcome 69464609, $7,391 (98% win rate)
0x58b9...ee8b — Outcome 69464609, $4,000 (90% win rate)
0x13e1...7e55 — Outcome 69464609, $906 (69% win rate)
0x62bc...461e — Outcome 69464609, $619 (92% win rate)
0x5f30...3aee — Outcome 69464609, $561 (70% win rate)
0x5628...abbc — Outcome 69464609, $470

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

ResolvedCincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs$14,175 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for May 5 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CIN

20-16

Final

CHC

24-12

CIN +137CHC -166O/U 8

Venue

Wrigley Field, Chicago

Attendance

34,777