Part of: Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,100.
Categories: Trump Daily, Politics, Culture, Trump
Notable Trades
High-win contrarian bettor
Weak alert mechanically, but the wallet has a strong 19-2 resolved record and is taking a contrarian No position in a thin Trump insult market.
- This bettor has won 19 of 21 resolved trades, though lifetime profit is modest at +$92.
- They sold Yes at 84¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 16¢ against a market now pricing Yes near 94%.
- The market is fairly thin, so a $1.1K contrarian trade can reflect a real view rather than routine flow.
$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xcbef...9ab0 — No, $2,087 (71% win rate)
- 0x4699...e03c — Yes, $1,670 (97% win rate)
- 0xdd3b...f02e — No, $1,625
- 0x9592...a7b8 — Yes, $1,434 (96% win rate)
- 0x4e42...49ed — Yes, $1,318 (59% win rate)
- 0xa3ad...6866 — No, $1,000
- 0x1f8d...ee89 — No, $964
- 0x0b97...0efe — Yes, $893
- 0x13c8...6de4 — No, $700
- 0x0894...d819 — Yes, $623
