Part of: Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,100.

Categories: Trump Daily, Politics, Culture, Trump

Notable Trades

High-win contrarian bettor

Weak alert mechanically, but the wallet has a strong 19-2 resolved record and is taking a contrarian No position in a thin Trump insult market.

  • This bettor has won 19 of 21 resolved trades, though lifetime profit is modest at +$92.
  • They sold Yes at 84¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 16¢ against a market now pricing Yes near 94%.
  • The market is fairly thin, so a $1.1K contrarian trade can reflect a real view rather than routine flow.

$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcbef...9ab0 No, $2,087 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x4699...e03c Yes, $1,670 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xdd3b...f02e No, $1,625
  4. 0x9592...a7b8 Yes, $1,434 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x4e42...49ed Yes, $1,318 (59% win rate)
  6. 0xa3ad...6866 No, $1,000
  7. 0x1f8d...ee89 No, $964
  8. 0x0b97...0efe Yes, $893
  9. 0x13c8...6de4 No, $700
  10. 0x0894...d819 Yes, $623

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

ResolvedWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?$1,100 tracked1 signalTrump DailyPoliticsCultureTrump
Yes
80¢
No
20¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
97¢
88¢
79¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?

2h ago

$1,100 on No at 16¢

16¢20¢4¢