Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,389.
Categories: Politics, Culture, Trump
Notable Trades
Elite serial trader buys Yes
Highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% long-run win rate bought nearly $12k of Yes after a major price move.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.31M lifetime.
- They have traded across 109 events and $7.5M of cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- They bought $11.9k of Yes at 89¢ after the market jumped 66 points in a day.
$11,867 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp wallets fading spike
Three wallets are fading a major Yes price spike by buying No, including a profitable 75% winner with 102 resolved positions and another wallet up $145k lifetime.
- A bettor who wins 75% of resolved trades bought No after the market spiked hard toward Yes.
- Three wallets all took the same No side for $5.7k, including one equivalent No buy at 14¢.
- Yes is up 56 points in a day, so this is a contrarian fade of a fast-moving news-driven market.
$5,676 on No
75% winner fading surge
A proven 75% winner with positive lifetime P&L is taking a contrarian No position after Yes surged sharply.
- This bettor has won 75% of 102 resolved trades and is up $1,879 lifetime.
- They bought No at 21¢ after Yes jumped nearly 48 points in a day, fading the market surge.
- No is now around 28¢, still within the suggested copy range from their entry.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial trader buys YES
A profitable high-volume serial trader bought $5.8k of Yes at 90¢ into a major one-day price move on a relatively small political market.
- This prolific bettor is up $618k lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved markets.
- They bought $5.8k of Yes at 90¢, signaling near-certainty despite the already high price.
- The market has surged 68 points in a day, matching the direction of this bet.
$5,846 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x5456...9691 — Outcome 47093818, $2,500
- 0xd590...5eee — Outcome 47093818, $1,807 (38% win rate)
- 0xd109...6fa0 — Outcome 47093818, $1,451 (80% win rate)
- 0x18e9...bbc9 — Outcome 47093818, $1,186
- 0xfc95...0b9c — Outcome 47093818, $866
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 47093818, $846 (95% win rate)
- 0x2779...239a — Outcome 47093818, $731 (74% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 47093818, $721
- 0x78bf...6ebb — Outcome 47093818, $720 (100% win rate)
- 0x0894...d819 — Outcome 47093818, $713 (84% win rate)
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