Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,389.

Categories: Politics, Culture, Trump

Notable Trades

Elite serial trader buys Yes

Highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 85% long-run win rate bought nearly $12k of Yes after a major price move.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.31M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 109 events and $7.5M of cross-market volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • They bought $11.9k of Yes at 89¢ after the market jumped 66 points in a day.

$11,867 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp wallets fading spike

Three wallets are fading a major Yes price spike by buying No, including a profitable 75% winner with 102 resolved positions and another wallet up $145k lifetime.

  • A bettor who wins 75% of resolved trades bought No after the market spiked hard toward Yes.
  • Three wallets all took the same No side for $5.7k, including one equivalent No buy at 14¢.
  • Yes is up 56 points in a day, so this is a contrarian fade of a fast-moving news-driven market.

$5,676 on No

75% winner fading surge

A proven 75% winner with positive lifetime P&L is taking a contrarian No position after Yes surged sharply.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 102 resolved trades and is up $1,879 lifetime.
  • They bought No at 21¢ after Yes jumped nearly 48 points in a day, fading the market surge.
  • No is now around 28¢, still within the suggested copy range from their entry.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial trader buys YES

A profitable high-volume serial trader bought $5.8k of Yes at 90¢ into a major one-day price move on a relatively small political market.

  • This prolific bettor is up $618k lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved markets.
  • They bought $5.8k of Yes at 90¢, signaling near-certainty despite the already high price.
  • The market has surged 68 points in a day, matching the direction of this bet.

$5,846 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5456...9691 Outcome 47093818, $2,500
  2. 0xd590...5eee Outcome 47093818, $1,807 (38% win rate)
  3. 0xd109...6fa0 Outcome 47093818, $1,451 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x18e9...bbc9 Outcome 47093818, $1,186
  5. 0xfc95...0b9c Outcome 47093818, $866
  6. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 47093818, $846 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x2779...239a Outcome 47093818, $731 (74% win rate)
  8. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 47093818, $721
  9. 0x78bf...6ebb Outcome 47093818, $720 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x0894...d819 Outcome 47093818, $713 (84% win rate)

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

ResolvedWho will Trump publicly insult by May 31?$25,389 tracked4 signalsPoliticsCultureTrump

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

69d ago

$11,867 on Yes at 89¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

69d ago

$5,676 on No at 20¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

69d ago

$2,000 on No at 21¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

69d ago

$5,846 on Yes at 90¢

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