Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,846.

Categories: Politics, Culture, Trump

Notable Trades

75% winner fading surge

A proven 75% winner with positive lifetime P&L is taking a contrarian No position after Yes surged sharply.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 102 resolved trades and is up $1,879 lifetime.
  • They bought No at 21¢ after Yes jumped nearly 48 points in a day, fading the market surge.
  • No is now around 28¢, still within the suggested copy range from their entry.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial trader buys YES

A profitable high-volume serial trader bought $5.8k of Yes at 90¢ into a major one-day price move on a relatively small political market.

  • This prolific bettor is up $618k lifetime across more than 1,200 resolved markets.
  • They bought $5.8k of Yes at 90¢, signaling near-certainty despite the already high price.
  • The market has surged 68 points in a day, matching the direction of this bet.

$5,846 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc58...1dff No, $20,110 (75% win rate)
  2. 0x44c1...ebc1 Yes, $12,785 (58% win rate)
  3. 0x1c14...0869 No, $6,026 (61% win rate)
  4. 0x7c3d...5c6b Yes, $4,690 (47% win rate)
  5. 0xf0d5...c665 Yes, $2,683 (88% win rate)
  6. 0xaf23...aa95 Yes, $2,575 (61% win rate)
  7. 0x3839...e2ee No, $2,459 (43% win rate)
  8. 0x66c1...fa3f No, $2,254 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x9a3f...914a Yes, $2,000 (57% win rate)
  10. 0xf9b7...60a4 Yes, $1,755 (62% win rate)

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

ResolvedWho will Trump publicly insult by May 31?$7,846 tracked2 signalsPoliticsCultureTrump
Yes
77¢
No
24¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “Yes
94¢
56¢
18¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

2h ago

$2,000 on No at 21¢

21¢24¢3¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

5h ago

$5,846 on Yes at 90¢

90¢77¢13¢

Related Theses