MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $2,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,800.

Categories: Airdrops, Featured, Crypto, MegaETH, Pre-Market, fdv

Notable Trades

Profitable crypto event bettor

Profitable wallet with a 75% win rate is adding a meaningful No position in a major crypto launch market with supportive cross-market positioning.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up about $1.7k on $18.2k invested
  • They bought No at 78¢ in a liquid crypto event market, suggesting conviction that MegaETH stays under a $2B launch valuation
  • They are also positioned across 2 related markets in the same event, pointing to a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet

$2,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2ad5...d434 Yes, $118,160
  2. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $107,015 (47% win rate)
  3. 0xf893...cc40 Yes, $75,306
  4. 0x8133...3bb4 Yes, $63,154 (60% win rate)
  5. 0x9377...c4f7 Yes, $60,000
  6. 0xf0d8...68ca Yes, $60,000
  7. 0xb7b3...9573 No, $42,363 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x014c...820c No, $38,397 (34% win rate)
  9. 0x44e4...011c Yes, $37,317
  10. 0x5666...ef7b Yes, $23,989

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Resolved$2,800 tracked1 signalAirdropsFeaturedCryptoMegaETHPre-Marketfdv
Yes
21¢
No
79¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $2,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

Price History — “No
91¢
82¢
72¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

1d ago

$2,800 on No at 78¢

78¢79¢1¢

Related Theses

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | PolySpotter