Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta
This Polymarket-style prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta, scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with resolution expected by June 7, 2026 if the match is completed within the allowed window. PolySpotter is tracking $28,374 in smart money across 4 signals, including recent sharp activity backing Jodar and underdog pushes.
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $248,217.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable whale buying dip
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Rafael Jodar at 85¢ during a sharp price dip and major volume spike, suggesting a contrarian conviction entry.
- This bettor is up $740k lifetime across more than $50M in bets.
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 85¢ after his price dropped 17.5 points in 5 minutes.
- Market volume is surging at 29.5x normal, adding weight to the move.
$6,307 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 53%
Serial bettor buying dip
High-volume serial cross-market bettor bought $11.1k of Rafael Jodar at 85¢ amid a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price volatility, though the wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.
- This is a very active bettor with 769 resolved trades and an 85% win rate across hundreds of events.
- They put $11.1k on Rafael Jodar at 85¢ while the market saw a 36.5x pre-event volume spike.
- Rafael Jodar had just seen a sharp short-term price drop, so this looks like a confident buy-the-dip entry.
$11,135 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 85%
93% winner backs favorite
A highly profitable 93% lifetime winner sold Pablo Carreno Busta, effectively backing Rafael Jodar at 85¢ amid a major volume spike and price move.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $1.06M lifetime.
- They sold Pablo Carreno Busta at 15¢, equivalent to buying Rafael Jodar at 85¢.
- The market has seen an 18x volume spike and Pablo’s price has dropped sharply.
$2,259 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 93%
Serial bettor riding surge
High-score sports alert driven by a very active serial trader buying Rafael Jodar amid an 18x volume spike and a 32-point price move, though the wallet's lifetime P&L is negative.
- A highly active bettor with 769 resolved trades bought $11.6k of Rafael Jodar at 85¢.
- The market saw an 18x volume spike and Jodar’s price jumped about 32 points, suggesting strong momentum.
- This wallet wins 85% of resolved bets, though its lifetime P&L is negative, so the signal is more about market flow than proven profit.
$11,581 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor caught tennis move
Sharp profitable sports bettor bought Rafael Jodar at 76¢ amid a major volume spike and a 32-point price move, with the market now at 86¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is up $27.9k lifetime.
- They bought Rafael Jodar at 76¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
- Market volume spiked 18x while Jodar’s price jumped 32 points.
$3,400 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor fading favorite
A profitable 78% win-rate serial cross-market bettor is effectively buying Pablo Carreno Busta at 38¢ alongside one-sided flow and a sharp price move against Rafael Jodar.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $15.4K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 36 events with the same 78% hit rate.
- Six wallets bought Pablo Carreno Busta in the same direction as Rafael Jodar dropped 17.5 points in 5 minutes.
$1,014 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial bettor
A highly profitable 75% lifetime bettor joined one-sided Pablo Carreno Busta flow during a sharp volume and price move.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $403k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Pablo Carreno Busta side for $9.3k total.
- The market saw a 10.7x volume spike and a 17-point Rafael Jodar price drop in 5 minutes.
$1,708 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp joins 9-wallet push
A proven profitable tennis bettor bought Rafael Jodar alongside a 9-wallet one-sided push and a major pre-match volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $107,634 lifetime.
- Nine wallets have bought the same side, totaling about $50,971 on Rafael Jodar.
- Entry at 58¢ implies they still like Jodar despite a sharp one-day price drop.
$1,140 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable serial bettor flips sides
High-scoring alert led by a proven profitable bettor with a 75% record across 747 resolved bets, supported by nine-wallet one-sided flow into Rafael Jodar despite recent price volatility.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $403K lifetime.
- They flipped from a closed Pablo Carreno Busta position into Rafael Jodar at 64¢.
- Nine wallets bought the same side for about $51K during a major pre-match volume spike.
$1,000 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable bettor joins 3-wallet push
Profitable sports bettor flipped into Pablo Carreno Busta amid a 3-wallet one-sided push, major pre-event volume spike, and rapid price move.
- This bettor is up $26.5K lifetime and just flipped from Rafael Jodar into Pablo Carreno Busta.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $5.2K as Pablo’s price jumped 17.5 points in 5 minutes.
- Volume is running 18.7x above normal, suggesting a real pre-match information move.
$1,131 on Pablo Carreno Busta | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0x2fa0...be6d — Pablo Carreno Busta, $218,357 (95% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Pablo Carreno Busta, $142,102 (54% win rate)
- 0x4900...4a72 — Rafael Jodar, $114,373 (85% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Rafael Jodar, $87,677 (81% win rate)
- 0x88d1...18da — Rafael Jodar, $83,262 (69% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Pablo Carreno Busta, $82,241 (53% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Rafael Jodar, $70,327 (55% win rate)
- 0x2eaa...7d1a — Rafael Jodar, $70,000 (100% win rate)
- 0xdbbb...05a8 — Rafael Jodar, $67,064 (74% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Pablo Carreno Busta, $60,000 (50% win rate)
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