Part of: Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by...?
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by June 30, 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.
Categories: Geopolitics, Ukraine, Ukraine Map
Notable Trades
79% winner on thin market
Sharp 79% winner made a $2k No bet on a thin war-territory market, backed by cross-market positioning and meaningful size versus 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is profitable across 24 outcomes.
- The $2,000 No buy was 3.6x the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.
- They have also positioned across related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis.
$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 18397713, $1,022
- 0x98d1...ed25 — Outcome 18397713, $726
- 0xa3ce...f829 — Outcome 18397713, $440
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 18397713, $392 (95% win rate)
- 0x0a00...60aa — Outcome 18397713, $312
- 0x90b8...8665 — Outcome 18397713, $151
- 0xfe26...23d1 — Outcome 18397713, $134
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 18397713, $100
- 0x1c00...101d — Outcome 18397713, $80
- 0x1a9c...85b0 — Outcome 18397713, $72
Related Theses
Russia won't enter Novooleksandrivka
Covers 2 related markets
