Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
This prediction market covers the June 4 MLB matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees, resolving to the team that wins the game. PolySpotter is tracking $13,210 in smart money across 4 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp and elite bettors backing the underdog. The market remains open if the game is postponed and resolves 50-50 only if the game is canceled with no makeup game or ends in a tie.
17 smart money signals detected, totaling $105,185.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Pre-game favorite steam
Surface as a market-momentum alert: Yankees were bought at 82¢ during a 63x pre-game volume spike and quickly moved to 90¢, though the specific wallet has a negative lifetime P&L.
- A burst of pre-game money hit this market, with volume running 63x above its historical pace.
- Yankees moved sharply from the low 80s to 90¢ after the buying, confirming strong short-term momentum.
- This is more of a market-flow signal than a sharp-wallet signal, since the bettor is down $39k lifetime.
$1,640 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable, high-volume serial sports bettor bought Cleveland during a major pre-game volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has a large track record: 5,850 resolved bets, 62% wins, and about $840k in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 287 events with over $1.6M in tracked positioning.
- The entry was 20¢, but Cleveland has since fallen to 10¢, making this a higher-risk follow despite the bettor’s strong history.
$1,519 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 62%
Yankees volume surge
Surface as a momentum-driven MLB trade: Yankees odds surged with a 51x pre-event volume spike, though the wallet is active but not lifetime-profitable.
- Yankees odds jumped to 80% as market activity ran 51x above its usual pace.
- This is a very active cross-market bettor with 675 resolved bets across 264 events.
- The wallet wins 65% of resolved bets, but is slightly down lifetime, so the main signal is market momentum.
$1,000 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial trader flips
Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 204-market track record flipped from Cleveland to a $9k Yankees buy amid a major volume spike and price move.
- This bettor has won 64% of 204 resolved markets and is up $628k lifetime.
- They closed a $20k Cleveland position and switched into a $9k Yankees buy, signaling a changed view.
- The trade came during a 51x volume spike and a sharp Yankees price move, though the market has since pulled back.
$9,051 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 63%
96% winner backs underdog
High-conviction Cleveland buy cluster led by a 96% winner with +$440K P&L, though the market has since moved sharply against their entry.
- A bettor who wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $440K bought Cleveland at 38¢.
- Three wallets put $15.6K on the same Cleveland side, including another large serial trader up $631K lifetime.
- Cleveland is now around 20¢, well below the sharp entries, but the line has moved against them sharply.
$15,560 on Cleveland Guardians
Elite 89% winner buying
Elite profitable sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $2.3M lifetime profit bought $6.5k of Yankees amid a major volume spike and price move.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.3M lifetime.
- They have traded across 602 events with an 89% hit rate, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- Yankees price jumped sharply with a 40.8x volume spike, suggesting momentum behind the same side.
$6,521 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 89%
96% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 96% historical win rate bought Cleveland at 38¢, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved positions and is up $440k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 102 events with $831k in tracked volume.
- They bought Cleveland at 38¢, below the current 41¢ market price.
$3,791 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume serial sports bettor bought Cleveland at 37¢ ahead of a sharp pre-game volume spike and the price has already moved to 41¢.
- This bettor is up $631k lifetime across more than $3.8M invested.
- They have traded 203 events with a 64% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought Cleveland at 37¢ before the market moved to 41¢.
$3,700 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 63%
New undefeated sports whale
Very new wallet is repeatedly making large sports bets and is already 5-for-5 with $8.6k profit, now buying $8.3k of Yankees at 61¢.
- This 1-day-old wallet is already 5-for-5 and up $8.6k on resolved bets.
- It has now been flagged 10 times, with nearly $49k in large bets across 9 positions.
- The $8.3k Yankees buy shows continued conviction at 61¢ in a liquid MLB market.
$8,296 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 100%
95% winner backing Yankees
Sharp sports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong profit bought Yankees despite the market now trading slightly below their entry.
- This bettor has won 19 of 20 resolved trades and is up $96.6K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 34 events with a 95% win rate.
- Bought $5.9K of Yankees at 59¢; the market is now 56¢, offering a cheaper entry than theirs.
$5,900 on New York Yankees | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 40397966, $35,985 (62% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 40397966, $21,953 (93% win rate)
- 0x0a77...9d74 — Outcome 40397966, $8,284
- 0xbca0...9705 — Outcome 40397966, $7,694 (62% win rate)
- 0xacf8...e791 — Outcome 40397966, $6,250 (80% win rate)
- 0x613b...823a — Outcome 40397966, $3,420 (57% win rate)
- 0x1d3a...7b63 — Outcome 40397966, $2,935 (40% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 40397966, $2,782 (53% win rate)
- 0xc33a...3da3 — Outcome 40397966, $2,618 (98% win rate)
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 40397966, $2,129
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