Part of: What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,731.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Stocks, Equities, SPY, Rewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)

Notable Trades

Profitable 75% bettor

Despite the weak low-activity signal, the buyer has a small but profitable 75% resolved-bet record and is taking a meaningful No position in a thin finance market.

  • This bettor has won 75% of their resolved bets and is up $496 on $3,256 invested.
  • The $1.7k No buy is a meaningful order in a thin market with only about $4.5k traded in 24 hours.
  • Entry at 75¢ implies a bullish view that SPY stays above $700 through June.

$1,688 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable macro serial bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader put $6.0k on No across this SPY level market, making up most of the day’s volume in a relatively thin order book.

  • This bettor has a long record: 564 resolved bets, 65% wins, and $68k in lifetime profit.
  • They put $6.0k on No, equal to about 56% of this market’s 24h volume.
  • The trader has bet across 41 related events, suggesting a repeat macro strategy rather than a one-off wager.

$6,043 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Top Holders

  1. 0x0681...f713 Outcome 10217068, $12,712 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x6f2a...de7d Outcome 10217068, $2,001
  3. 0xb424...3b71 Outcome 10217068, $633
  4. 0x5be9...9106 Outcome 10217068, $630
  5. 0x21ff...5e2a Outcome 10217068, $511 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x8e0c...7fa3 Outcome 10217068, $267
  7. 0x6436...da96 Outcome 10217068, $258 (88% win rate)
  8. 0xc2d2...1615 Outcome 10217068, $228
  9. 0x8581...7be6 Outcome 10217068, $141
  10. 0x0689...151b Outcome 10217068, $124

Related Theses

Iran deal timing arbitrage

Covers 5 related markets

LPL will not win Worlds

Covers 1 related market

Iran airspace closes late May

Covers 2 related markets

Iran uranium deal after July

Covers 2 related markets

Fed will not hike in 2026

Covers 1 related market

Iran ceasefire will collapse

Covers 1 related market

Fed holds rates steady

Covers 2 related markets

G2 Esports will win LEC Summer Split

Covers 1 related market

KT Rolster will win

Covers 1 related market

Brown Top 20, Campillo Misses

Covers 2 related markets

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

ResolvedWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?$7,731 tracked2 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceStocksEquitiesSPYRewards Automation 400, 4.5, 50 (1)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

76d ago

$1,688 on No at 75¢

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

78d ago

$6,043 on No at 64¢

Related Theses