Part of: Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,082.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

87% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought the heavy favorite after a fast 14-point drop, making this a credible follow despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades across 176 settled markets and is up about $10.9k.
  • They bought Jasmine Paolini at 89¢ right after a fast 14-point drop, suggesting they saw value in the dip.
  • The market is deep and active, so this looks more like a sharp entry than a random thin-market punt.

$2,409 on Jasmine Paolini | Wallet win rate: 87%

3-wallet underdog push

Three wallets piled into the underdog side during a sharp pre-match volume spike and moved Laura Siegemund from 12-18%, making this a notable coordinated momentum bet despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Three wallets all bet Laura Siegemund within minutes, totaling about $4.0k on the same side
  • The market saw a 62.5x volume spike and Laura jumped from 12¢ to 18¢ in about 4 minutes
  • They bought the underdog at 12-21¢ equivalent, suggesting they saw Paolini overpriced near 79-90¢

$4,042 on Laura Siegemund

87% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought the favorite during a major pre-match volume surge, making this a notable follow despite paying a high price.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades across 292 resolved markets and is up about $102k.
  • They have a long cross-market record in 122 markets across 86 events, which makes this more than a one-off bet.
  • The market saw a 62.5x volume spike, and they bought Jasmine Paolini at 89¢ before the price dropped to 82¢.

$1,773 on Jasmine Paolini | Wallet win rate: 90%

Sharp sports bettor buying favorite

A proven high-volume winning bettor bought Jasmine Paolini into a sharp pre-match volume surge and rapid price move, making this a reasonable sports follow despite only moderate size.

  • This bettor wins 82% of their trades across 858 resolved bets and is up about $50.8k
  • They bought during a 62.5x volume spike as Paolini moved fast, pointing to strong pre-match conviction
  • Entry at 83¢ is a pricey favorite, but this wallet has a real track record in high-volume markets

$1,063 on Jasmine Paolini | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable new wallet pressing favorites

A 12-day-old wallet with repeated large bets and early profits bought Jasmine Paolini before a sharp move higher during a major volume spike, suggesting real conviction rather than routine activity.

  • This 12-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts and is up $1.1k after investing $14.2k
  • They bought Jasmine Paolini at 80¢, and the market moved to 88¢ soon after on a 48.7x volume spike
  • The bettor already has 9 positions despite the wallet being new, which points to an active trader sizing up quickly

$2,158 on Jasmine Paolini | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial sports bettor pressing favorite

A very active serial sports trader with an 80% hit rate just made a $14.6k high-confidence buy into a match drawing an unusual pre-event volume surge.

  • This bettor has won 298 of 372 resolved markets, an 80% hit rate across 171 events.
  • They just put $14.6k on Jasmine Paolini at 88¢, a concentrated bet on a heavy favorite.
  • Volume in this match is running nearly 49x its normal level, showing unusually strong pre-match interest.

$14,639 on Jasmine Paolini | Wallet win rate: 80%

91% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and $2.0M profit just bought Jasmine Paolini into heavy pre-match flow, making this a credible follow despite the price already moving lower.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up $2.0M lifetime across 880 bets
  • They put $4.3k on Jasmine Paolini during a 28.7x pre-match volume spike, suggesting strong conviction
  • The bet was placed at 74¢, but the market has already moved to 62¢, so the edge may be less attractive now

$4,261 on Jasmine Paolini | Wallet win rate: 92%

4-wallet Paolini surge

Four wallets piled into Jasmine Paolini within minutes as the market surged on unusually heavy volume, with two getting filled well before the move to 66¢.

  • Four wallets bought the same side in minutes for $7.4k total as volume ran 69.5x normal.
  • Two of the buys hit at 43¢ and 49¢ before the market jumped to 66¢, showing strong early conviction.
  • One wallet in the cluster has traded 117 markets across 111 events, suggesting this was not random one-off action.

$7,415 on Jasmine Paolini

Repeat new wallet hammering favorites

A repeat new wallet has already put over $20k into flagged bets and just bought Jasmine Paolini before a sharp move higher during an unusual volume spike.

  • This 11-day-old wallet has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts and put about $20.5k into flagged trades
  • They bought Jasmine Paolini at 49¢ and the market moved to 56¢ within minutes, a quick 7-point gain
  • Match volume surged 70x above normal, suggesting concentrated money hit this market before the price jumped

$2,954 on Jasmine Paolini | Wallet win rate: 88%

4-wallet surge led by sharp

Four wallets piled into Laura Siegemund during an 81x volume spike and sharp price move, led by one very strong bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit.

  • One bettor in this group wins 73% of resolved bets and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought $12.3k of Laura Siegemund as market volume jumped 81x and the price ripped higher.
  • The sharpest wallet flipped out of a prior Paolini position and added on Siegemund, showing a clear directional switch.

$12,270 on Laura Siegemund

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 77347123, $23,041 (69% win rate)
  2. 0xf02f...1ed8 Outcome 77347123, $8,226 (81% win rate)
  3. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 77347123, $4,047 (90% win rate)
  4. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 77347123, $3,085 (80% win rate)
  5. 0x26e7...cc6c Outcome 77347123, $2,571 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x27b0...fc67 Outcome 77347123, $2,425 (73% win rate)
  7. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 77347123, $1,570
  8. 0x6945...729c Outcome 77347123, $1,277
  9. 0x058e...a2ac Outcome 77347123, $1,078
  10. 0x1f35...95da Outcome 77347123, $1,000 (66% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

ResolvedMadrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini$54,082 tracked11 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Siegemund and Jasmine Paolini in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Siegemund' if Laura Siegemund advances against Jasmine Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Laura Siegemund. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$2,409 on Jasmine Paolini at 89¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$4,042 on Laura Siegemund at 15¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$1,773 on Jasmine Paolini at 89¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$1,063 on Jasmine Paolini at 83¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$2,158 on Jasmine Paolini at 80¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$14,639 on Jasmine Paolini at 88¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$4,261 on Jasmine Paolini at 74¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$7,415 on Jasmine Paolini at 55¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$2,954 on Jasmine Paolini at 49¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$12,270 on Laura Siegemund at 62¢

Madrid Open: Laura Siegemund vs Jasmine Paolini

41d ago

$1,098 on Laura Siegemund at 45¢

Related Theses