Part of: What will Trump say during Rockland County events?

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,523.

Categories: Trump, Mentions

Notable Trades

New wallet flips to No

A repeat new wallet with early profits flipped from Yes to No and helped drive a sharp move toward No.

  • This 21-day-old wallet has already had $24.9K in flagged bets and is up about $2.1K so far.
  • The bettor closed a prior Yes position and bought No at 79¢, suggesting a clear reversal in view.
  • The trade came alongside a fast market move toward No, which is now trading around 82¢.

$1,942 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

87% winner flips toward Yes

Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: an 87% lifetime winner is selling No, equivalent to buying Yes, during a sharp 5-minute move against No.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $33.6K lifetime.
  • They sold nearly $6K of No after a fast 24-point drop, which is effectively a move toward Yes.
  • Entry around 34¢ implies they see better odds than the market is showing.

$5,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

87% winner re-enters No

Sharp wallet override: an 87% winner with positive lifetime P&L re-entered No on a niche Trump wording market despite only a modest price-impact signal.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up about $35k lifetime.
  • They made a fresh No buy at 72¢ after previously closing both sides on this market.
  • This is a niche same-day wording market where fast information can matter.

$2,295 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

83% winner buys NO

Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive P&L is re-entering No despite only a modest price-impact signal.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 12 resolved bets and is up $5,558 lifetime.
  • They bought No at 66¢ after a fast 24-point move in five minutes.
  • This is a fresh re-entry after closing earlier positions on both sides.

$1,042 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

87% winner buys NO

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite the alert itself only showing moderate price impact.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $38k lifetime.
  • They bought $2.3k of No at 88¢, a high-conviction position in a live Trump-remarks phrase market.
  • The market has moved sharply, with Yes down 18 percentage points over the last day.

$2,309 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader flipped into a $5k No position on a same-day Trump phrase market, with price-impact support.

  • This bettor is up $639k lifetime across more than $56M traded.
  • They have traded 123 markets across 88 events, suggesting strong experience in event-based markets.
  • They flipped from a small Yes position into a larger $5k No buy at 23¢.

$4,955 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0x98a7...df9e Outcome 89903428, $50,000
  2. 0x9e84...86b4 Outcome 89903428, $30,000 (71% win rate)
  3. 0xfc26...ffc6 Outcome 89903428, $25,000
  4. 0xda73...4d41 Outcome 89903428, $23,759 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x04d4...8c51 Outcome 89903428, $19,140
  6. 0x8874...bf22 Outcome 89903428, $13,720
  7. 0x5188...c804 Outcome 89903428, $10,333 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x4328...3356 Outcome 89903428, $10,000
  9. 0xbd04...fbb0 Outcome 89903428, $9,749 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x997b...641b Outcome 89903428, $7,520

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Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

ResolvedWhat will Trump say during Rockland County events?$18,523 tracked6 signalsTrumpMentions

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Rockland County at 3PM ET on May 22, 2026 (https://www.lohud.com/story/news/2026/05/20/trumps-rockland-county-visit-what-to-know/90173651007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during remarks in Rockland County scheduled for May 22, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about remarks in Rockland County at 3PM ET on May 22, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Price History — “No
102¢
61¢
19¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

10d ago

$1,942 on No at 79¢

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

10d ago

$5,980 on Yes at 34¢

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

10d ago

$2,295 on No at 72¢

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

10d ago

$1,042 on No at 66¢

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

10d ago

$2,309 on No at 88¢

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

12d ago

$4,955 on No at 23¢

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