Part of: What will Trump say during Rockland County events?
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,523.
Notable Trades
New wallet flips to No
A repeat new wallet with early profits flipped from Yes to No and helped drive a sharp move toward No.
- This 21-day-old wallet has already had $24.9K in flagged bets and is up about $2.1K so far.
- The bettor closed a prior Yes position and bought No at 79¢, suggesting a clear reversal in view.
- The trade came alongside a fast market move toward No, which is now trading around 82¢.
$1,942 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
87% winner flips toward Yes
Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: an 87% lifetime winner is selling No, equivalent to buying Yes, during a sharp 5-minute move against No.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $33.6K lifetime.
- They sold nearly $6K of No after a fast 24-point drop, which is effectively a move toward Yes.
- Entry around 34¢ implies they see better odds than the market is showing.
$5,980 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
87% winner re-enters No
Sharp wallet override: an 87% winner with positive lifetime P&L re-entered No on a niche Trump wording market despite only a modest price-impact signal.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up about $35k lifetime.
- They made a fresh No buy at 72¢ after previously closing both sides on this market.
- This is a niche same-day wording market where fast information can matter.
$2,295 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
83% winner buys NO
Surfaced via sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and positive P&L is re-entering No despite only a modest price-impact signal.
- This bettor has won 10 of 12 resolved bets and is up $5,558 lifetime.
- They bought No at 66¢ after a fast 24-point move in five minutes.
- This is a fresh re-entry after closing earlier positions on both sides.
$1,042 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
87% winner buys NO
Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite the alert itself only showing moderate price impact.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $38k lifetime.
- They bought $2.3k of No at 88¢, a high-conviction position in a live Trump-remarks phrase market.
- The market has moved sharply, with Yes down 18 percentage points over the last day.
$2,309 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial event trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader flipped into a $5k No position on a same-day Trump phrase market, with price-impact support.
- This bettor is up $639k lifetime across more than $56M traded.
- They have traded 123 markets across 88 events, suggesting strong experience in event-based markets.
- They flipped from a small Yes position into a larger $5k No buy at 23¢.
$4,955 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0x98a7...df9e — Outcome 89903428, $50,000
- 0x9e84...86b4 — Outcome 89903428, $30,000 (71% win rate)
- 0xfc26...ffc6 — Outcome 89903428, $25,000
- 0xda73...4d41 — Outcome 89903428, $23,759 (77% win rate)
- 0x04d4...8c51 — Outcome 89903428, $19,140
- 0x8874...bf22 — Outcome 89903428, $13,720
- 0x5188...c804 — Outcome 89903428, $10,333 (82% win rate)
- 0x4328...3356 — Outcome 89903428, $10,000
- 0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 89903428, $9,749 (71% win rate)
- 0x997b...641b — Outcome 89903428, $7,520
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