Part of: Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
This prediction market asks whether Andy Burnham will officially become a Member of Parliament in the UK House of Commons by June 30, 2026. It resolves “Yes” if he assumes any Commons seat by 11:59 PM ET on the deadline, and “No” otherwise. PolySpotter is tracking $1,974 in smart money activity and 1 signal in this market, including a recent profitable whale alert on a thin market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham officially assumes the position of Member of Parliament for any seat in the United Kingdom House of Commons by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham and the government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,974.
Categories: United Kingdom, UK, Politics, Starmer
Notable Trades
Profitable whale on thin market
Despite a low composite score, this is a highly profitable, experienced wallet buying No in a thin political market and the price has already moved sharply in its favor.
- This bettor is up about $1.9M lifetime across 888 resolved bets.
- The $2K buy was large for this quiet market, equal to roughly 43% of its 24h volume.
- They entered No at 53¢, and the market has already moved to about 65¢.
$1,974 on No | Wallet win rate: 39%
Top Holders
- 0x9d84...1344 — No, $3,741 (39% win rate)
- 0x74f1...16a8 — Yes, $1,560 (73% win rate)
- 0xcbab...9a8a — Yes, $1,351 (78% win rate)
- 0xefde...783d — Yes, $800 (51% win rate)
- 0x6e9a...f3bb — Yes, $611
- 0x9690...f2d5 — No, $503 (46% win rate)
- 0xfb51...742d — No, $407 (75% win rate)
- 0xfe72...f18c — Yes, $250 (66% win rate)
- 0x8a19...073d — No, $179
- 0xbe3d...4dc6 — Yes, $140
Related Theses
Starmer exits in late May
Covers 3 related markets
