Part of: Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham ceases to be Mayor of Greater Manchester for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Andy Burnham's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andy Burnham; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: UK, Politics

Notable Trades

84% winner buying news risk

Surfacing because the wallet has a strong 84% resolved win rate and repeatedly flagged activity, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative and the entry is now well above current odds.

This bettor has won 84% of 57 resolved trades, making the wallet worth watching despite slightly negative lifetime profit.
They paid 74¢ for Yes after a sharp move higher, suggesting conviction that Burnham leaving is more likely than the market now implies.
The market is thin, with only about $2.8k liquidity, so a $2k buy is a meaningful position.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%