Part of: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,305.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor backs Under
A highly experienced and profitable serial trader is making a meaningful Under bet, though the market itself is liquid and lacks additional corroborating signals.
- This bettor has won 71% of 5,449 resolved trades and is up $1.39 million.
- They have traded 516 markets across 461 events, providing a substantial track record behind this $2,051 Under position.
- The Under was bought at 54¢, only slightly above the market’s 52% implied probability.
$2,051 on Under | Wallet win rate: 73%
96% winner backs the Under
Six wallets committed $100,000 to Under, including a bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge, although the market has since moved sharply against them.
- Six wallets bought $100,102 of Under, including one bettor who wins 96% of 197 resolved positions and is up $244,337.
- The largest wallet added $72,748 to an existing Under position, showing meaningful conviction rather than a small probe.
- Under has since fallen to 23% while nine wallets bought $69,047 of Over, making this a high-conviction but contested signal.
$100,102 on Under
Profitable serial sports bettor buys Under
A proven sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $332,787 lifetime profit is making a fresh $1,080 Under bet at 54%.
- This bettor wins 76% of 196 resolved bets and is up $332,787 lifetime.
- They are taking a fresh $1,080 position on Under at 54% in a liquid MLB market.
- The wallet has traded across 134 events and 161 markets, showing broad repeat activity rather than a one-off bet.
$1,080 on Under | Wallet win rate: 77%
94% win-rate sharp buys Over
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,072 bet on Over 8.5.
- This bettor has won 94% of 472 resolved positions and is up $3.68 million.
- The $3,072 Over bet is fresh conviction from a trader active across 678 markets and 574 events.
- Buying at 46¢ implies the bettor sees the Over as materially more likely than the market's current price.
$3,072 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 64472711, $7,000 (53% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 64472711, $6,540 (65% win rate)
- 0xe98c...8792 — Outcome 64472711, $2,727 (97% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 64472711, $2,148
- 0x418d...88a3 — Outcome 64472711, $2,000 (77% win rate)
- 0x66b2...0fdf — Outcome 64472711, $1,827 (69% win rate)
- 0x2972...3f29 — Outcome 64472711, $1,556 (63% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — Outcome 64472711, $1,500 (54% win rate)
- 0xb4c8...8f5a — Outcome 64472711, $1,031 (79% win rate)
- 0x8565...0c43 — Outcome 64472711, $1,000 (83% win rate)
Related Theses
Marlins win, runs stay low
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Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Tigers win a high-scoring game
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Brewers win in a high-scoring game
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Diamondbacks win a low-scoring game
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Rays win, total not eight
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High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown
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Four or five total goals
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Brewers Athletics exceed total
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Pirates Athletics stay under
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