Event

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox

14 signals across 6 markets · $219,771 tracked · resolves Aug 26, 2026

Follow Polymarket prediction-market activity for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox MLB game on August 19 at 4:10 PM ET. The event includes an Over/Under 8.5 total-runs market, with PolySpotter tracking $3,072 in smart money and a sharp buy signal favoring the Over.

ARI
7
67-61
Final
BOS
6
68-59
ARI +148BOS -159O/U 8.5
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
36,540

Markets (6)

  1. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.54 signals · $106,305 tracked
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox3 signals · $71,167 tracked
  3. Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox2 signals · $21,120 tracked
  4. Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)2 signals · $12,845 tracked
  5. Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)2 signals · $6,920 tracked
  6. Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.51 signal · $1,415 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Seven-wallet cluster backs Arizona

    Seven linked wallets bought Arizona for $12,048 amid an 84.9x volume spike, including a proven 81% bettor with meaningful edge and broader cross-market conviction.

    $12,048Score: 10.3
  2. 96% winner backs the Under

    Six wallets committed $100,000 to Under, including a bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial edge, although the market has since moved sharply against them.

    $100,102Score: 9.0
  3. Seven-wallet Boston buying cluster

    Seven wallets committed $42.5K to Boston in a 203x volume spike, including several profitable high-volume bettors, making this a meaningful coordinated sports position despite some added positions.

    $42,486Score: 6.8
  4. 91% winner scaling into Boston

    A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate added $16.6K to Boston despite the market moving sharply against the position.

    $16,632Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 6.1
  5. Sharp bettor scaling into No

    A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate is adding $20,000 to an existing No position at 57%.

    $20,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.6
  6. 91% win-rate sharp bettor

    A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate made a large, fresh Red Sox spread bet worth over five times the market's 24-hour volume.

    $2,665Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.5
  7. 94% win-rate sharp buys Over

    A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $3,072 bet on Over 8.5.

    $3,072Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 5.4
  8. 95% win-rate bettor buys Over

    A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $1,415 Over bet despite the market moving sharply against it.

    $1,415Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4
  9. 91% winner takes concentrated Red Sox position

    A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and $530K lifetime profit made a concentrated $4,255 bet in an exceptionally quiet market.

    $4,255Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.4
  10. 91% win-rate serial bettor

    A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate and $530,440 lifetime P&L made a fresh $1,590 bet on Boston to cover.

    $1,590Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 4.9

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x927cf26633$25,142 · 3 markets · 4 alerts · 92% wins
  2. 0x408fe7b2f4$20,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
  3. 0x16bb998492$3,072 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  4. 0xdc41c3dd7e$2,051 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins
  5. 0x161a7f4103$1,415 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
  6. 0x8565b20c43$1,120 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
  7. 0x418d5188a3$1,080 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox prediction-market odds?

Polymarket tracks the available outcomes for the Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox game, including the event’s Over/Under 8.5 total-runs market. Check the live market page for current prices and implied probabilities.

What is smart money betting on in Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox?

PolySpotter has tracked $3,072 in smart money across the event. Its latest alert reports a sharp buy on the Over, from a trader with a 94% win rate.

What markets are available for this MLB game?

The event currently includes a total-runs market asking whether the game will finish Over or Under 8.5 runs. The event description also outlines winner-based resolution for the Diamondbacks and Red Sox.

When does the Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox market resolve?

The game is scheduled for August 19 at 4:10 PM ET. If postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed; if canceled without a makeup game or ending in a tie, the listed winner market resolves 50-50.