Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,082.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

A highly active, profitable serial timer with a 71% win rate bought Down 16 minutes before resolution in a short-window BTC market, a pattern consistent with a repeatable timing edge.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 11,160 resolved trades and is up $57,187 lifetime.
  • The buy came 16 minutes before resolution, and this wallet has 5 recent near-resolution bets across 4 markets with a measured edge.
  • They bought Down at 60¢ in a $6k-volume market, suggesting a deliberate short-term timing view rather than routine flow.

$1,082 on Down | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xaf01...5e37 Outcome 10450233, $10,271
  2. 0x4dd0...eee4 Outcome 10450233, $2,064
  3. 0x4fc1...8360 Outcome 10450233, $880 (58% win rate)
  4. 0xe66a...6cff Outcome 10450233, $526 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xaf58...6c4d Outcome 10450233, $516
  6. 0xf768...27f1 Outcome 10450233, $365
  7. 0xbd2e...37eb Outcome 10450233, $334
  8. 0x8201...5d39 Outcome 10450233, $285 (78% win rate)
  9. 0xa70f...dbc6 Outcome 10450233, $210
  10. 0x8a72...3b30 Outcome 10450233, $200 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

No deal by May

Covers 2 related markets

MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1,082 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

45d ago

$1,082 on Down at 60¢

Related Theses