Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will finish the April 22, 10:15 AM to 10:30 AM ET window up or down. Traders are pricing the short-term direction of BTC over that 15-minute period, while PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,247 in smart money across 1 signal. Recent alerts point to a down-leaning cluster from a proven serial event trader, which may interest traders watching live prediction market odds before the market resolves at 10:30 AM ET on April 22.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,763.
Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M
Notable Trades
Proven serial event trader
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with 11,160 resolved trades and a 71% win rate is taking a fresh position on Down, making this wallet worth watching despite the modest bet size.
- This bettor has 11,160 resolved trades with a 71% win rate and $57k profit
- They have traded 151 events for nearly $588k total, showing a repeatable event-trading edge
- Bought Down at 71¢, a fairly aggressive price that suggests confidence in a short-window move
$1,247 on Down | Wallet win rate: 71%
Serial timer-led Down cluster
A 3-wallet cluster piled into Down minutes before resolution, led by a serial near-resolution trader with a strong long-term edge and entries as low as 60¢ before the market moved to 90¢.
- One wallet wins 71% of 11,160 resolved bets and is up $57k, with a pattern of profitable last-minute entries.
- Three wallets all lined up on Down within 7 minutes of resolution, putting in $16.5k total as volume spiked more than 2,200x normal.
- The main buyer got filled from 60¢ to 71¢, and the market is now 90¢, showing they caught a sharp late move early.
$16,516 on Down
Top Holders
- 0x1e50...2473 — Outcome 44197365, $1,676
- 0xe3f1...b7b0 — Outcome 44197365, $1,320
- 0xbd2e...37eb — Outcome 16266111, $1,190
- 0x4712...dd08 — Outcome 44197365, $1,147 (60% win rate)
- 0x708f...b2fa — Outcome 44197365, $1,101
- 0xceb5...4438 — Outcome 44197365, $796
- 0xc574...b9da — Outcome 44197365, $708 (55% win rate)
- 0x344f...9dec — Outcome 44197365, $575
- 0x39aa...82eb — Outcome 44197365, $481
- 0xd7e7...a357 — Outcome 44197365, $480