Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down between 3:50PM and 3:55PM ET on April 9, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. It resolves to Up if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price for that five-minute window; otherwise it resolves to Down. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,473 in smart money across 1 signal for this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,473.

Notable Trades

94% win-rate serial timer

A highly profitable wallet with a 94% win rate made a concentrated last-minute bet on a thin BTC micro market, a pattern worth watching despite the small dollar size.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $58k across 546 resolved positions
  • They bought Down with 5.4 minutes left, a timing pattern that often signals a real edge in fast markets
  • Their $1.5k order was 73% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing unusually concentrated conviction

$1,473 on Down | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xb64a...e66a — Outcome 51990101, $2,826
  2. 0x6d70...e909 — Outcome 51990101, $1,964
  3. 0xc58d...05d6 — Outcome 51990101, $1,847 (88% win rate)
  4. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 51990101, $1,800
  5. 0xe3f1...b7b0 — Outcome 51990101, $1,759
  6. 0x0af1...ae11 — Outcome 51990101, $1,503
  7. 0x064a...245d — Outcome 23079170, $1,450
  8. 0x3f1e...f362 — Outcome 51990101, $969
  9. 0xe293...4659 — Outcome 51990101, $800
  10. 0xfe52...07da — Outcome 51990101, $663 (60% win rate)

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

$1,473 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

3h ago

$1,473 on Down at 56¢