Cross-Market Thesis

Cross-Market Thesis

This trader is expressing a view that Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?, Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? are correlated outcomes, committing $5,040 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

Positions

  1. 1Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
    $2,552 @ 52¢
  2. 2Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
    $2,488 @ 71¢