Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,882.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

Profitable serial timer bought Up minutes before resolution and the market moved to 100¢, making this a strong follow/study signal but not one to chase at current price.

  • This bettor has a 71% record across 12,843 resolved trades and is up $120,496 lifetime.
  • They bought Up 4–6 minutes before resolution at an average around 46¢, and it quickly moved to 100¢.
  • This wallet has made 45 near-resolution bets across 17 markets with a documented edge.

$2,829 on Up | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial timer buys Up

High-score alert from a profitable serial near-resolution trader buying BTC Up with a strong long-run record and repeated last-minute edge.

  • This bettor has a 71% win rate across 12,839 resolved trades and is up $112,615 lifetime.
  • They specialize in late bets, with 44 near-resolution trades across 17 markets and a documented edge.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies a 2.6x payout if Bitcoin finishes Up in this 15-minute window.

$1,053 on Up | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x064a...245d Outcome 99785991, $2,000 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x24f5...98d2 Outcome 99785991, $1,131
  3. 0x2ce0...8d6f Outcome 98799432, $723
  4. 0x9629...ee15 Outcome 99785991, $482
  5. 0x606d...1aaf Outcome 98799432, $336 (67% win rate)
  6. 0x1b74...870e Outcome 99785991, $300
  7. 0x344f...9dec Outcome 99785991, $300
  8. 0x75fc...0a4c Outcome 99785991, $294
  9. 0x3555...c4d1 Outcome 99785991, $219
  10. 0x6dba...84e9 Outcome 99785991, $188

Related Theses

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Resolved$3,882 tracked2 signalsUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

3h ago

$2,829 on Up at 46¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

3h ago

$1,053 on Up at 39¢

Related Theses