Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,603.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer buys Down

High-scoring alert from a profitable serial crypto timer buying nearly $10k of Down, with a 71% resolved win rate and strong near-resolution track record.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 12,809 resolved bets and is up $112,589 lifetime.
  • They put $9,917 on Down in the final stretch, after 33 similar late-market bets across 14 markets.
  • Their buying pushed Down sharply higher, while the current 52¢ price is below their roughly 60¢ average entry.

$9,917 on Down | Wallet win rate: 71%

71% serial timer buying Down

A high-sample profitable serial timer with 71% wins and +$112k P&L put $6.7k on Down in a very thin short-term BTC market.

  • This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $112k lifetime.
  • They have a repeated last-minute pattern: 29 near-resolution bets across 14 markets.
  • The $6.7k Down bet is nearly 5x this market’s 24h volume, with an average entry around 54¢.

$6,686 on Down | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 65381352, $35,232 (71% win rate)
  2. 0x8864...3ed5 Outcome 65381352, $993 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x7758...42a9 Outcome 65381352, $318
  4. 0x1fdc...e6eb Outcome 65381352, $206
  5. 0x1449...7342 Outcome 65381352, $180
  6. 0xa5e1...932e Outcome 65381352, $165
  7. 0xa704...e5d5 Outcome 65381352, $133
  8. 0x828b...a12b Outcome 14161419, $130
  9. 0xa7a2...491f Outcome 65381352, $121
  10. 0x6da7...762a Outcome 65381352, $118

Related Theses

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Resolved$16,603 tracked2 signalsUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

2h ago

$9,917 on Down at 60¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

2h ago

$6,686 on Down at 54¢

Related Theses