Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,603.
Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer buys Down
High-scoring alert from a profitable serial crypto timer buying nearly $10k of Down, with a 71% resolved win rate and strong near-resolution track record.
- This bettor has won 71% of 12,809 resolved bets and is up $112,589 lifetime.
- They put $9,917 on Down in the final stretch, after 33 similar late-market bets across 14 markets.
- Their buying pushed Down sharply higher, while the current 52¢ price is below their roughly 60¢ average entry.
$9,917 on Down | Wallet win rate: 69%
71% serial timer buying Down
A high-sample profitable serial timer with 71% wins and +$112k P&L put $6.7k on Down in a very thin short-term BTC market.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and is up $112k lifetime.
- They have a repeated last-minute pattern: 29 near-resolution bets across 14 markets.
- The $6.7k Down bet is nearly 5x this market’s 24h volume, with an average entry around 54¢.
$6,686 on Down | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 65381352, $35,232 (69% win rate)
- 0x8864...3ed5 — Outcome 65381352, $993 (88% win rate)
- 0x7758...42a9 — Outcome 65381352, $318
- 0x1449...7342 — Outcome 65381352, $180
- 0xa704...e5d5 — Outcome 65381352, $133
- 0x6da7...762a — Outcome 65381352, $118
- 0xd654...42b3 — Outcome 65381352, $118
- 0x6dba...84e9 — Outcome 65381352, $100
- 0x6d98...b3a3 — Outcome 65381352, $100
- 0xae58...f81b — Outcome 65381352, $97
Related Theses
No deal by May
Covers 2 related markets
MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June
Covers 2 related markets
Soccer powerhouse wins World Cup
Covers 5 related markets
