Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $13,965.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

Serial crypto timer, 71% wins

Surface: a profitable serial near-resolution crypto trader with a 71% resolved win rate bought nearly $14k of Down and moved the market sharply.

  • This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades across 12,812 bets and is up $112,617 lifetime.
  • They bought $13,965 of Down about 12 minutes before resolution, pushing Down up 28 points.
  • This wallet has 35 near-resolution bets across 15 markets with a documented edge.

$13,965 on Down | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 10494512, $40,386 (69% win rate)
  2. 0x8864...3ed5 Outcome 10494512, $1,462 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x7758...42a9 Outcome 10494512, $378
  4. 0x8670...e7ee Outcome 10494512, $200 (95% win rate)
  5. 0x11cc...a696 Outcome 10494512, $124
  6. 0xd425...c0e4 Outcome 10494512, $120
  7. 0x963f...b421 Outcome 10494512, $114
  8. 0x5943...fd99 Outcome 10494512, $92
  9. 0xcb85...b69a Outcome 10494512, $64
  10. 0xba15...e6a0 Outcome 10494512, $57

Related Theses

No deal by May

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MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$13,965 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

45d ago

$13,965 on Down at 62¢

Related Theses