Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,346.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

96% serial crypto timer

A highly accurate serial cross-market trader bought Down near resolution on a short BTC market, though the edge is less compelling because the price has moved sharply against their 89¢ entry.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 463 resolved trades across 25 events.
  • They placed this bet about 11 minutes before resolution, matching a pattern of fast late-market crypto trades.
  • The entry was 89¢ on Down, but the market has since fallen to 66¢, so this is a higher-risk follow now.

$1,346 on Down | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x76f4...bd1f Outcome 84359430, $5,298 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x4699...e03c Outcome 84359430, $2,510 (96% win rate)
  3. 0xa900...3805 Outcome 84359430, $1,700
  4. 0x9665...e9b4 Outcome 84359430, $1,000
  5. 0x72d7...1b97 Outcome 84359430, $780 (30% win rate)
  6. 0x978d...7653 Outcome 84359430, $558
  7. 0xa838...5d04 Outcome 59712323, $307
  8. 0xddb0...f95a Outcome 59712323, $300
  9. 0xa484...b12c Outcome 84359430, $200
  10. 0xd1a6...3a51 Outcome 84359430, $200

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved$1,346 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

2h ago

$1,346 on Down at 89¢

Related Theses