Part of: Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci
Canadian Open: Sebastian Baez vs Mattia Bellucci
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,585.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor backing Bellucci
A proven 82% bettor with substantial edge sold Baez while already holding Bellucci, alongside an extreme event-volume spike and serial cross-market activity.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $30,261 across $212,844 invested.
- Selling Baez at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Bellucci around 45¢, adding to an existing $4,525 Bellucci position.
- Trading volume was nearly 299 times its historical average, reinforcing the directional signal.
$2,302 on Mattia Bellucci | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor backing Bellucci
A proven 82% bettor with substantial edge sold Baez while already holding Bellucci, alongside an extreme event-volume spike and serial cross-market activity.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $30,261 across $212,844 invested.
- Selling Baez at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Bellucci around 45¢, adding to an existing $4,525 Bellucci position.
- Trading volume was nearly 299 times its historical average, reinforcing the directional signal.
$3,508 on Mattia Bellucci | Wallet win rate: 85%
High-win-rate cluster backs Bellucci
Three wallets, including bettors with 96% and 82% win rates, are adding roughly $8,361 of exposure to Mattia Bellucci amid a 272x volume spike.
- A 96%-win-rate bettor and an 82%-win-rate bettor are adding to Bellucci positions.
- Three wallets committed $8,361 to Bellucci, while one trader also sold $3,508 of Baez exposure.
- Market volume is running at 272x its historical average, and Bellucci is priced around 44%.
$15,352 on Mattia Bellucci
94% winner leads Baez buying
Three wallets bought Baez for $7,212 amid a major volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and $1.1M in profits.
- A bettor with a 94% win rate across 297 resolved positions and $1.1M in profits bought Baez at 54¢.
- Three wallets bought Baez for $7,212, while the market was only pricing him at roughly 55%.
- Trading volume spiked to 212 times its historical average, adding weight to the coordinated position.
$11,537 on Sebastian Baez
94% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $5,000 bet on Sebastian Baez at 54%.
- This bettor wins 94% of 297 resolved positions and is up $1.12 million.
- The $5,000 bet targets Sebastian Baez at 54%, despite the market currently pricing him near 52%.
- With 367 events and 465 markets traded, this is a highly experienced serial bettor rather than a one-off wager.
$5,000 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 91%
82% win-rate sports bettor
A highly proven tennis-market bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is opening a fresh $2,585 position on Sebastian Baez.
- This bettor wins 82% of 352 resolved positions while entering at roughly 52% odds.
- The wallet has earned about $4.1 million and traded across 700 markets, indicating a substantial, repeatable track record.
- This is a fresh $2,585 buy on Sebastian Baez rather than routine position management.
$2,585 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 85%
Serial sharp backs Baez
A highly experienced serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying Baez near a near-even price.
- This bettor has won 80% of 1,038 resolved trades and earned $587,003 in profit.
- They have traded across 244 events, suggesting broad and repeatable market expertise rather than a one-off bet.
- The $1,300 Baez purchase at 52¢ backs a slight favorite at a liquid, tightly priced market.
$1,300 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 80%
Top Holders
- 0x0c6b...4faa — Outcome 47249192, $18,990
- 0x461d...db9e — Outcome 47249192, $9,925 (85% win rate)
- 0xf3a1...bf4b — Outcome 47249192, $9,672 (98% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 47249192, $7,823 (72% win rate)
- 0x7eb6...8b20 — Outcome 47249192, $6,835 (88% win rate)
- 0xd692...8b9a — Outcome 47249192, $4,860 (50% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 47249192, $3,547 (81% win rate)
- 0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 47249192, $3,402 (78% win rate)
- 0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 47249192, $3,377 (72% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 47249192, $3,166 (74% win rate)
Related Theses
Germany wins by six plus
Covers 3 related markets
Argentina won’t win; others favored
Covers 7 related markets
Fed holds rates steady
Covers 2 related markets
Thunder win low-scoring rout
Covers 3 related markets
Thunder cover low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
No Iran peace deal
Covers 3 related markets
Knicks win low-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
Spurs win close defensive game
Covers 3 related markets
Spain wins comfortably
Covers 3 related markets
Brazil wins by four plus
Covers 3 related markets
