Part of: Cap FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Cap’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $150 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. The token must be publicly transferable and tradable for launch to count, and FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. PolySpotter is tracking $1,042 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 96% winner buying Yes.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,042.

Categories: Pre-Market, Cap, Crypto, FDV

Notable Trades

96% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes on a thin, wide-spread token FDV market.

  • This bettor has won 24 of 25 resolved bets and is up $12.7K lifetime.
  • They bought Yes at 87¢ in a relatively thin market with an 11¢ spread.
  • The market has strong momentum, with Yes up 62.5 points over the past week.

$1,042 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf915...8720 Outcome 96669801, $2,756 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x3879...d8c3 Outcome 96669801, $1,000
  3. 0x56c2...6219 Outcome 96669801, $1,000
  4. 0x4d45...97f4 Outcome 96669801, $999
  5. 0xb0c2...41b8 Outcome 96669801, $840
  6. 0x4292...4a08 Outcome 96669801, $751 (75% win rate)
  7. 0xee67...67a6 Outcome 96669801, $351
  8. 0x9a34...7ca4 Outcome 96669801, $305 (58% win rate)
  9. 0xe82f...a089 Outcome 96669801, $200 (98% win rate)
  10. 0x296d...70f9 Outcome 96669801, $152

Related Theses

Predict.fun tops $800M FDV

Covers 4 related markets

GRVT launches above $200M FDV

Covers 2 related markets

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

527dCap FDV above ___ one day after launch?$1,042 tracked1 signalPre-MarketCapCryptoFDV

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cap's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cap (https://x.com/capmoney_) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Notable Trades

Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?

27d ago

$1,042 on Yes at 87¢

Related Theses