What is the Cap FDV above $250M prediction market about?

This market predicts whether Cap’s governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $250 million one day after its launch. If the FDV is above $250M at the specified time, the market resolves Yes; otherwise, it resolves No.

How is Cap’s FDV calculated for this market?

The market uses fully diluted valuation, calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable for the launch to count.

When does this Cap FDV market resolve?

The market is scheduled with a resolution date of January 1, 2028, but the key measurement time is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Cap’s token launch.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking on this market?

PolySpotter currently tracks $1,220 in smart money activity across 1 signal. Recent alerts include a Sharp linked wallet buying NO and an 84% winner buying YES.

Where can I follow Cap token prediction market odds?

You can follow Cap token FDV prediction market odds on Polymarket, while PolySpotter highlights smart money signals, wallet activity, and notable trader positioning around the market.

Part of: Cap FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Cap’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $250 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, and the token must be publicly transferable and tradable to count as launched. PolySpotter is tracking $1,220 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including recent NO buying by a Sharp linked wallet and YES buying by an 84% winner.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,658.

Categories: Pre-Market, Cap, Crypto, FDV

Notable Trades

84% winner buying YES

Despite a weak alert score, this is worth surfacing because a highly profitable wallet with an 84% record bought Yes on a niche crypto launch valuation market.

This bettor has won 84% of 469 resolved trades and is up $46K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 81¢ in a niche crypto market where informed views are plausible.
The market has already moved sharply toward Yes, up 35 points in the past day.

$1,220 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp linked wallet buying NO

Sharp 81% winning wallet with linked-wallet support made a bet larger than the market’s 24h volume on a quiet token FDV market.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $20K lifetime.
The $3.4K NO buy is larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
Three wallets share a funder, and this wallet has related positioning across the same event.

$3,438 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xee67...67a6 — Outcome 10728042, $1,555
0xc456...8996 — Outcome 10728042, $1,304 (59% win rate)
0x4a3b...3149 — Outcome 10728042, $1,206
0x3879...d8c3 — Outcome 10728042, $1,000
0x56c2...6219 — Outcome 10728042, $1,000
0x8454...331a — Outcome 10728042, $500 (91% win rate)
0x4292...4a08 — Outcome 10728042, $485 (74% win rate)
0x407c...49aa — Outcome 10728042, $474
0x8bc3...73d1 — Outcome 10728042, $444 (64% win rate)
0x547f...961f — Outcome 10728042, $440

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Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?

547dCap FDV above ___ one day after launch?$4,658 tracked2 signalsPre-MarketCapCryptoFDV

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cap's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cap (https://x.com/capmoney_) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “Yes”

94¢

55¢

16¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction