Part of: Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud

Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $115,196.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable bettors backing O'Connell

Four wallets deployed $10.4K toward Christopher O'Connell, including two highly profitable bettors, while the market moved sharply in his favor.

  • Four wallets committed $10,387 to Christopher O'Connell, with the equivalent Ruud sells reinforcing the same direction.
  • Two participants have strong records: one is up $599K at an 80% win rate, and another is up $533K at a 70% win rate.
  • O'Connell's price rose roughly 38% over 24 hours amid a 77.6x volume spike, suggesting meaningful new information or conviction.

$10,387 on Christopher O'Connell

Serial trader fading Ruud

A highly experienced serial trader made a $3,398 bearish trade on Ruud that coincided with a 19-point price decline, though the trader’s historical edge is moderate rather than exceptional.

  • This bettor has traded 1,294 events, won 70% of 91,001 resolved bets, and is up $531,789.
  • The $3,398 Ruud sell coincided with Ruud falling from 71¢ to 46%, a major 19-point market move.
  • The trade implies buying Christopher O'Connell around 29¢, well below the current 54% market price.

$3,398 on Christopher O'Connell | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp bettor leads seven-wallet Ruud cluster

A seven-wallet, $101,411 one-sided move toward Casper Ruud includes a highly profitable 92% win-rate bettor, although the market has since moved sharply against the position.

  • A bettor with a 92% win rate across 228 resolved positions and $7.37 million in profit bought Casper Ruud around 35¢.
  • Seven wallets committed $101,411 to Ruud, including four linked wallets sharing a funder.
  • The market later moved to 0¢ for Ruud, so the signal is worth studying but the apparent edge was not corroborated by subsequent price action.

$101,411 on Casper Ruud

Top Holders

  1. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 72773794, $184,875 (60% win rate)
  2. 0x5f65...2036 Outcome 72773794, $28,584 (90% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 72773794, $16,792 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x6e47...5c64 Outcome 72773794, $3,996
  5. 0xc28a...ca3a Outcome 72773794, $3,000
  6. 0xfb51...742d Outcome 72773794, $2,000 (71% win rate)
  7. 0xb99c...7e96 Outcome 72773794, $1,600 (70% win rate)
  8. 0x50b9...4467 Outcome 72773794, $1,429 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x6c7a...7625 Outcome 72773794, $1,300
  10. 0xeaf3...e802 Outcome 72773794, $1,050 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

Türkiye avoids defeat

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Brazil-Japan match will happen

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Türkiye-US match gets played

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Japan-Sweden match will happen

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Several favorites could win the World Cup

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Argentina will not win

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No deal by May

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MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June

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Iran avoids defeat vs New Zealand

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Germany-Paraguay match happens

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Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud

ResolvedCincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud$115,196 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Christopher O'Connell and Casper Ruud in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Christopher O'Connell' if Christopher O'Connell advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Christopher O'Connell. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Christopher O'Connell
102¢
63¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud

7d ago

$10,387 on Christopher O'Connell at 60¢

Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud

7d ago

$3,398 on Christopher O'Connell at 29¢

Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruud

7d ago

$101,411 on Casper Ruud at 35¢

Related Theses

Türkiye avoids defeat
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Brazil-Japan match will happen
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a…
Türkiye-US match gets played
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will United States win on 2026…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25…Will Türkiye vs. United States…
Japan-Sweden match will happen
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a…Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
Several favorites could win the World Cup
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 7 related markets
Will Argentina win the 2026 FI…Will France win the 2026 FIFA …Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA W…
Argentina will not win
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-…Will England vs. Argentina end…Will England win on 2026-07-15…
No deal by May
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 2 related markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal…US x Iran permanent peace deal…
MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 2 related markets
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoi…MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoi…
Iran avoids defeat vs New Zealand
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand e…Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15…Will New Zealand win on 2026-0…
Germany-Paraguay match happens
Wallet_0x5b633 trades 3 related markets
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end …Will Germany win on 2026-06-29…Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-2…