Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,737.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp volume spike on Guardians
A major pre-event volume spike and multi-market positioning support this Guardians bet, though the wallet's large sample does not show a strong predictive edge.
- The market saw a 317x surge versus its historical trading volume before the game.
- This wallet bought Cleveland at 38¢, while the current price is 44¢, indicating the position has moved in its favor.
- The trader positioned across three related markets with $10,449 total exposure, but its 54% win rate is only modest evidence of skill.
$6,051 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 54%
Sharp bettor leads Orioles cluster
A sharp, highly profitable bettor joined two other wallets in a $21,179 Orioles position during a 317x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite one wallet's poor record.
- A bettor with a 66% win rate and $7.7M lifetime profit placed roughly $10,600 on Baltimore.
- Three wallets bought $21,179 of Orioles shares during a volume spike 317 times the historical average.
- Baltimore is priced at 56¢ after entries as high as 62¢, so the cluster is showing meaningful conviction despite early price softness.
$21,179 on Baltimore Orioles
Sharp volume spike on Guardians
A major pre-event volume spike and multi-market positioning support this Guardians bet, though the wallet's large sample does not show a strong predictive edge.
- The market saw a 317x surge versus its historical trading volume before the game.
- This wallet bought Cleveland at 38¢, while the current price is 44¢, indicating the position has moved in its favor.
- The trader positioned across three related markets with $10,449 total exposure, but its 54% win rate is only modest evidence of skill.
$2,344 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable serial bettor adds to Guardians
A proven 78% bettor with $45,267 in profit is adding to an existing Guardians position despite the market pricing them near 40%.
- This bettor has won 78% of 81 resolved trades and is up $45,267 lifetime.
- The wallet is scaling into Cleveland, already having $2,660 invested at a 42¢ average entry.
- Buying at 42¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the market's roughly 40% probability.
$1,118 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp bettor scaling into Orioles
A highly proven bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $12,000 to an Orioles position at 56%.
- This bettor has won 85% of 626 resolved positions and is up $1.13 million.
- They are adding another $12,000 to an existing Orioles position at 56%, signaling sustained conviction.
- The wallet has traded across 145 events and 147 markets, showing a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.
$12,000 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 85%
Elite 89% win-rate bettor
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate across 2,692 resolved positions is taking a fresh $2,045 position on Baltimore at 55%.
- This bettor wins 89% of trades across 2,692 resolved positions and has earned $3.63M in profit.
- The wallet has a reported 31-percentage-point edge over its average implied odds, making the Baltimore position more than a routine favorite bet.
- A serial trader active across 1,705 markets and 1,424 events is backing Baltimore at 55%, near the current 56% market price.
$2,045 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0x2bf0...728f — Outcome 48394143, $29,532 (83% win rate)
- 0xb071...63fa — Outcome 48394143, $2,660 (75% win rate)
- 0xa270...f5e6 — Outcome 48394143, $2,125
- 0x554d...eb95 — Outcome 48394143, $2,055 (98% win rate)
- 0xa032...2090 — Outcome 48394143, $1,550 (67% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 48394143, $1,482 (70% win rate)
- 0x48cb...82a2 — Outcome 48394143, $1,266
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 48394143, $1,170 (45% win rate)
- 0x53a1...76b7 — Outcome 48394143, $1,111 (64% win rate)
- 0x519d...37a1 — Outcome 48394143, $1,027
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