Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 7 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,737.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp volume spike on Guardians

A major pre-event volume spike and multi-market positioning support this Guardians bet, though the wallet's large sample does not show a strong predictive edge.

  • The market saw a 317x surge versus its historical trading volume before the game.
  • This wallet bought Cleveland at 38¢, while the current price is 44¢, indicating the position has moved in its favor.
  • The trader positioned across three related markets with $10,449 total exposure, but its 54% win rate is only modest evidence of skill.

$6,051 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 55%

Sharp bettor leads Orioles cluster

A sharp, highly profitable bettor joined two other wallets in a $21,179 Orioles position during a 317x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite one wallet's poor record.

  • A bettor with a 66% win rate and $7.7M lifetime profit placed roughly $10,600 on Baltimore.
  • Three wallets bought $21,179 of Orioles shares during a volume spike 317 times the historical average.
  • Baltimore is priced at 56¢ after entries as high as 62¢, so the cluster is showing meaningful conviction despite early price softness.

$21,179 on Baltimore Orioles

Sharp volume spike on Guardians

A major pre-event volume spike and multi-market positioning support this Guardians bet, though the wallet's large sample does not show a strong predictive edge.

  • The market saw a 317x surge versus its historical trading volume before the game.
  • This wallet bought Cleveland at 38¢, while the current price is 44¢, indicating the position has moved in its favor.
  • The trader positioned across three related markets with $10,449 total exposure, but its 54% win rate is only modest evidence of skill.

$2,344 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 55%

Profitable serial bettor adds to Guardians

A proven 78% bettor with $45,267 in profit is adding to an existing Guardians position despite the market pricing them near 40%.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 81 resolved trades and is up $45,267 lifetime.
  • The wallet is scaling into Cleveland, already having $2,660 invested at a 42¢ average entry.
  • Buying at 42¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful value against the market's roughly 40% probability.

$1,118 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor scaling into Orioles

A highly proven bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $12,000 to an Orioles position at 56%.

  • This bettor has won 85% of 626 resolved positions and is up $1.13 million.
  • They are adding another $12,000 to an existing Orioles position at 56%, signaling sustained conviction.
  • The wallet has traded across 145 events and 147 markets, showing a broad, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.

$12,000 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 85%

Elite 89% win-rate bettor

A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate across 2,692 resolved positions is taking a fresh $2,045 position on Baltimore at 55%.

  • This bettor wins 89% of trades across 2,692 resolved positions and has earned $3.63M in profit.
  • The wallet has a reported 31-percentage-point edge over its average implied odds, making the Baltimore position more than a routine favorite bet.
  • A serial trader active across 1,705 markets and 1,424 events is backing Baltimore at 55%, near the current 56% market price.

$2,045 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2bf0...728f — Cleveland Guardians, $29,532 (81% win rate)
  2. 0xb071...63fa — Cleveland Guardians, $2,660 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xa270...f5e6 — Cleveland Guardians, $2,125
  4. 0x554d...eb95 — Cleveland Guardians, $2,055 (92% win rate)
  5. 0xa032...2090 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,550 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x2a69...d2f7 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,482 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x48cb...82a2 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,266
  8. 0x5811...0976 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,170 (45% win rate)
  9. 0x53a1...76b7 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,111 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x519d...37a1 — Cleveland Guardians, $1,027

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles$44,737 tracked6 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Cleveland Guardians
0¢
Baltimore Orioles
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 7 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CLE
4
73-72
Final
BAL
6
70-75
CLE +118BAL -142O/U 7Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
21,612

Notable Trades

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

2026-09-07 18:28 UTC

$6,051 on Cleveland Guardians at 38¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

2026-09-07 18:03 UTC

$21,179 on Baltimore Orioles at 56¢

56¢→100¢↑44¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

2026-09-07 18:03 UTC

$2,344 on Cleveland Guardians at 38¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

2026-09-07 17:57 UTC

$1,118 on Cleveland Guardians at 42¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

2026-09-07 16:12 UTC

$12,000 on Baltimore Orioles at 56¢

56¢→100¢↑44¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

2026-09-07 13:42 UTC

$2,045 on Baltimore Orioles at 55¢

55¢→100¢↑45¢

Related Theses