Event

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

12 signals across 3 markets · $185,473 tracked · resolves Sep 14, 2026

See the latest Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles prediction-market odds, including the game winner and the 7.5-run over/under market. PolySpotter tracks $91,068 in smart money across three signals, with alerts showing both Under and Over activity from sharp bettors and a serial whale.

CLE
4
73-72
Final
BAL
6
70-75
CLE +118BAL -142O/U 7
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
21,612

Markets (3)

  1. Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.55 signals · $137,468 tracked
  2. Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles6 signals · $44,737 tracked
  3. Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.51 signal · $3,268 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Winning serial trader backs Under

    A $66.7K one-sided Under push coincides with a 19x volume spike and includes a profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate.

    $66,737Score: 6.9
  2. Sharp bettor leads Orioles cluster

    A sharp, highly profitable bettor joined two other wallets in a $21,179 Orioles position during a 317x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated signal despite one wallet's poor record.

    $21,179Score: 6.2
  3. Sharp bettor buys Under

    A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge made an $11.4K fresh Under position.

    $11,400Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.6
  4. Sharp bettor scaling into Orioles

    A highly proven bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $12,000 to an Orioles position at 56%.

    $12,000Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 5.4
  5. Sharp bettor backs Over

    A highly experienced sports bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $10,000 Over bet during a major volume spike.

    $10,008Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.9
  6. Profitable serial bettor adds to Guardians

    A proven 78% bettor with $45,267 in profit is adding to an existing Guardians position despite the market pricing them near 40%.

    $1,118Wallet win rate: 74%Score: 4.7
  7. Serial whale buying Over

    A highly experienced serial trader placed a sizable Over bet amid a 19.3x volume spike, though the wallet's historical edge is modest and the market has since moved against the position.

    $14,323Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 3.5
  8. Sharp volume spike on Guardians

    A major pre-event volume spike and multi-market positioning support this Guardians bet, though the wallet's large sample does not show a strong predictive edge.

    $2,344Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 3.3
  9. Sharp volume spike on Guardians

    A major pre-event volume spike and multi-market positioning support this Guardians bet, though the wallet's large sample does not show a strong predictive edge.

    $6,051Wallet win rate: 55%Score: 2.4
  10. Elite 89% win-rate bettor

    A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate across 2,692 resolved positions is taking a fresh $2,045 position on Baltimore at 55%.

    $2,045Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 0.7

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x8a86854998$35,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  2. 0xfe787d0319$14,323 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
  3. 0x27f73844b0$13,445 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 89% wins
  4. 0xd3faf1a26c$12,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
  5. 0x37e472c991$10,008 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
  6. 0x526852135d$8,395 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 55% wins
  7. 0xe8c4d6395d$3,268 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
  8. 0xb071e763fa$1,118 · 1 market · 1 alert · 74% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Guardians vs. Orioles odds on Polymarket?

Polymarket lists prediction-market odds for the Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles matchup, including the game outcome and a 7.5-run over/under market. Odds can change as traders update their positions.

What is smart money betting on in the Guardians-Orioles market?

PolySpotter has tracked $91,068 in smart money across three signals. Recent alerts include a winning serial trader backing Under, a sharp bettor backing Over, and a serial whale buying Over.

What total is being traded for Guardians vs. Orioles?

The event includes a 7.5-run total market, where traders can take positions on whether the game finishes Over or Under 7.5 combined runs.

When does the Guardians vs. Orioles prediction market resolve?

The game is scheduled for September 7 at 1:35 PM ET and resolves after the game is completed. If it is postponed, the market remains open until it is played; a canceled game with no makeup or a tie resolves 50-50.