Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $137,468.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor scaling into Under

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and $2.18M P&L is adding $35,000 to an existing Under position at 54%.

  • This bettor wins 85% of 149 resolved positions and is up $2.18 million lifetime.
  • They are adding $35,000 to an existing Under position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
  • The 54¢ entry implies the bettor sees Under as meaningfully underpriced relative to their assessment.

$35,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%

Sharp bettor buys Under

A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge made an $11.4K fresh Under position.

  • This bettor wins 89% of trades across 2,692 resolved positions and is up $3.63 million.
  • They invested $11,400 in Under at 52¢, slightly below the current 54% market price.
  • The bettor has shown a 31-point edge over implied odds across a broad history of sports and event markets.

$11,400 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%

Winning serial trader backs Under

A $66.7K one-sided Under push coincides with a 19x volume spike and includes a profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate.

  • A profitable bettor with a 72% win rate across 80 resolved markets sold Over, equivalent to buying Under around 52¢.
  • Three wallets committed $66,737 to Under while market volume surged to 19.3 times its recent average.
  • The Under moved from roughly 50¢ to 54¢ after the betting, suggesting the market reacted to the concentrated flow.

$66,737 on Under

Sharp bettor backs Over

A highly experienced sports bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $10,000 Over bet during a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 77% of 1,316 resolved trades and is up $23.3 million.
  • They placed a concentrated $10,008 bet on Over at 51% in a market experiencing a 19.3x volume spike.
  • The current price has fallen to 46%, offering a lower entry than the bettor received, though the move has not yet confirmed the thesis.

$10,008 on Over | Wallet win rate: 77%

Serial whale buying Over

A highly experienced serial trader placed a sizable Over bet amid a 19.3x volume spike, though the wallet's historical edge is modest and the market has since moved against the position.

  • This trader has placed bets across 5,463 events and is up nearly $48 million overall.
  • A $14,323 Over position helped accompany a 19.3x surge in market volume, suggesting an unusually concentrated view.
  • The entry was 49¢, but Over has since slipped to 46%, so the signal has not yet been validated by price movement.

$14,323 on Over | Wallet win rate: 65%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8a86...4998 Outcome 55143675, $64,284 (86% win rate)
  2. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 55143675, $21,923 (89% win rate)
  3. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 55143675, $12,325 (49% win rate)
  4. 0x6383...6e28 Outcome 38546440, $3,713 (55% win rate)
  5. 0xe1e4...a1ad Outcome 55143675, $1,112 (60% win rate)
  6. 0x0eb7...1f17 Outcome 55143675, $513 (58% win rate)
  7. 0x22da...2866 Outcome 55143675, $487 (58% win rate)
  8. 0x5108...29cb Outcome 55143675, $477 (56% win rate)
  9. 0x0ebb...2b75 Outcome 55143675, $473
  10. 0xb797...e779 Outcome 55143675, $280 (51% win rate)

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Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

ResolvedCleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles$137,468 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 7 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

CLE
4
73-72
Final
BAL
6
70-75
CLE +118BAL -142O/U 7
Venue
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Attendance
21,612
Price History — “Over
102¢
69¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

4d ago

$35,000 on Under at 54¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

4d ago

$11,400 on Under at 52¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

4d ago

$66,737 on Under at 50¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

4d ago

$10,008 on Over at 51¢

Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5

4d ago

$14,323 on Over at 49¢

Related Theses