Part of: Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $137,468.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor scaling into Under
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 85% win rate and $2.18M P&L is adding $35,000 to an existing Under position at 54%.
- This bettor wins 85% of 149 resolved positions and is up $2.18 million lifetime.
- They are adding $35,000 to an existing Under position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
- The 54¢ entry implies the bettor sees Under as meaningfully underpriced relative to their assessment.
$35,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor buys Under
A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 89% win rate and substantial positive edge made an $11.4K fresh Under position.
- This bettor wins 89% of trades across 2,692 resolved positions and is up $3.63 million.
- They invested $11,400 in Under at 52¢, slightly below the current 54% market price.
- The bettor has shown a 31-point edge over implied odds across a broad history of sports and event markets.
$11,400 on Under | Wallet win rate: 89%
Winning serial trader backs Under
A $66.7K one-sided Under push coincides with a 19x volume spike and includes a profitable serial cross-market trader with a 72% win rate.
- A profitable bettor with a 72% win rate across 80 resolved markets sold Over, equivalent to buying Under around 52¢.
- Three wallets committed $66,737 to Under while market volume surged to 19.3 times its recent average.
- The Under moved from roughly 50¢ to 54¢ after the betting, suggesting the market reacted to the concentrated flow.
$66,737 on Under
Sharp bettor backs Over
A highly experienced sports bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $10,000 Over bet during a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 77% of 1,316 resolved trades and is up $23.3 million.
- They placed a concentrated $10,008 bet on Over at 51% in a market experiencing a 19.3x volume spike.
- The current price has fallen to 46%, offering a lower entry than the bettor received, though the move has not yet confirmed the thesis.
$10,008 on Over | Wallet win rate: 77%
Serial whale buying Over
A highly experienced serial trader placed a sizable Over bet amid a 19.3x volume spike, though the wallet's historical edge is modest and the market has since moved against the position.
- This trader has placed bets across 5,463 events and is up nearly $48 million overall.
- A $14,323 Over position helped accompany a 19.3x surge in market volume, suggesting an unusually concentrated view.
- The entry was 49¢, but Over has since slipped to 46%, so the signal has not yet been validated by price movement.
$14,323 on Over | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x8a86...4998 — Outcome 55143675, $64,284 (86% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 55143675, $21,923 (89% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 55143675, $12,325 (49% win rate)
- 0x6383...6e28 — Outcome 38546440, $3,713 (55% win rate)
- 0xe1e4...a1ad — Outcome 55143675, $1,112 (60% win rate)
- 0x0eb7...1f17 — Outcome 55143675, $513 (58% win rate)
- 0x22da...2866 — Outcome 55143675, $487 (58% win rate)
- 0x5108...29cb — Outcome 55143675, $477 (56% win rate)
- 0x0ebb...2b75 — Outcome 55143675, $473
- 0xb797...e779 — Outcome 55143675, $280 (51% win rate)
Related Theses
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
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Real Madrid wins by exactly two
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