Part of: Colts vs. Commanders
Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Colts and Commanders combine to score 41 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 41, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,861.
Categories: Sports, NFL (All), Games
Notable Trades
Proven sharp with 12-market event position
A highly profitable bettor with an 82% win rate is making a sizable Under bet and has built broad positions across this event.
- This bettor has won 82% of 1,038 resolved positions and is up $10.6M.
- They put about $1,631 on Under at 74¢ and have positions across 12 markets in this event totaling $90,412.
- The Under is currently around 71¢, below their entry price.
$3,631 on Under | Wallet win rate: 81%
Three-wallet Under cluster with sharp bettors
Three wallets coordinated roughly $6,000 in Under bets, including two with exceptionally strong records, and the position is supported by prior event-market activity.
- Three wallets placed about $6,000 on Under, with entries from 57¢ to 64¢ as the current price sits near 70¢.
- Two bettors in the cluster have 95% and 96% records across 86 and 26 resolved positions, respectively.
- Two wallets are adding to existing Under positions, while the group has also bet across three markets in this event.
$5,965 on Under
9-wallet Colts betting cluster
A nine-wallet, $86,695 coordinated position on the Colts is a strong directional signal, though this wallet also hedged across other game outcomes and has no exceptional win rate.
- Nine wallets bet the Colts in the same direction, totaling $86,695.
- This wallet entered the Colts at 57¢, but also bought Commanders and both totals, so its own positions are mixed.
- The wallet’s 55% win rate across 53,605 resolved bets is not a standout track record; the coordinated flow is the main signal.
$17,234 on Colts | Wallet win rate: 55%
81% winner, serial cross-market trader
A highly profitable bettor with an 81% win rate and a large historical sample bought Over, while also trading three markets in this event; the price has since fallen from 52% to 36%.
- This bettor has won 81% of 2,831 resolved trades and is up $6.58M lifetime.
- They traded three markets in this event, with $21,046 in combined activity.
- Over was bought at 52¢, but its current odds have fallen to 36%, showing the position has moved against them so far.
$1,446 on Over | Wallet win rate: 81%
Seven-wallet Commanders consensus
A 27.6x volume spike and seven-wallet $57.7k Commanders consensus make the event notable, though this wallet’s total-points trades are mixed and favor Under overall.
- Seven wallets put $57,744 on the Commanders, showing a strong shared view of the game.
- This wallet bought about $9,154 of Under versus $4,707 of Over on the total, with Under now at 58%.
- Trading volume spiked 27.6x above its historical average, but the wallet also took both sides of the total.
$18,586 on Under | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0xd38b...5029 — Under, $19,081 (81% win rate)
- 0x1449...a618 — Under, $2,152 (90% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Under, $495 (70% win rate)
- 0x154c...658e — Under, $263 (79% win rate)
- 0xe401...7b88 — Under, $250 (71% win rate)
- 0x48b0...a348 — Under, $159
- 0x7517...0353 — Under, $151 (77% win rate)
- 0xdd5e...9040 — Under, $116 (86% win rate)
- 0x9674...e1a2 — Under, $19 (72% win rate)
- 0x3e1a...4d5c — Under, $17
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