Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Astralis and Alliance in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against Astralis. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,778.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable serial bettor adds to Astralis
A profitable bettor with an 80% record is adding to an Astralis position amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 61 of 76 resolved trades and is up $15,075 overall.
- They already held $1,680 in Astralis and added another $1,042 as pre-event volume spiked 59.8× above average.
$1,042 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable serial bettor adds to Astralis
A highly experienced profitable bettor added $14.5K to Astralis amid a 53.8x volume spike, reinforcing an existing position.
- This bettor is up $563K across 1,909 resolved trades, with a 67% win rate.
- They added $14.5K to an existing Astralis position as market volume surged 53.8x above its historical average.
$14,543 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 75%
Proven 80% winner adding to Astralis
A highly profitable bettor with an 80% win rate across 616 resolved trades is adding $4,000 to an existing Astralis position.
- This bettor wins 80% of 616 resolved trades and is up $582,613 lifetime.
- They added another $4,000 to an existing Astralis position at 62¢.
- Their record spans 350 events, suggesting a sustained track record beyond this match.
$4,000 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 81%
Proven bettor adding to Astralis
A profitable, high-volume bettor with a 77% record is adding $2,000 to an existing Astralis position.
- This bettor has won 77% of 218 resolved trades and is up $89,503 overall.
- They added $2,000 to an existing Astralis position, bringing their investment to about $5,226.
- The market is liquid with a narrow 1¢ spread; the trade was entered at 62¢.
$2,000 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 76%
96% winner backing Alliance
A highly profitable bettor with 183 wins in 190 resolved positions is buying Alliance at 38¢, supported by extensive cross-market activity.
- This bettor has won 183 of 190 resolved positions and earned about $2.47M.
- They are buying Alliance at 38¢ despite the market pricing the team at 38%, and have traded across 103 events.
- The $2,194 position adds a clear directional bet from a proven, active trader.
$2,194 on Alliance | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0xddc3...029c — Astralis, $28,456 (75% win rate)
- 0x8a86...4998 — Astralis, $18,084 (67% win rate)
- 0x0235...cee5 — Astralis, $13,030 (98% win rate)
- 0xe2d0...7bbf — Astralis, $12,876 (74% win rate)
- 0x85fb...89ba — Astralis, $9,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xfc24...27f1 — Astralis, $8,913 (73% win rate)
- 0xcf76...ba2b — Astralis, $8,866 (80% win rate)
- 0xfeb9...95c9 — Astralis, $7,456 (52% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Astralis, $7,375 (52% win rate)
- 0x3da8...80c3 — Astralis, $6,452 (81% win rate)
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