Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Astralis and Alliance in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 2 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,103.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader adds Astralis

A profitable, high-volume bettor with a 71% win rate added to an Astralis position as the market moved sharply toward Astralis.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 336 resolved trades and is up $85,756 lifetime.
  • They added $1,586 to an existing Astralis position at 88¢ as the price rose about 25 percentage points.
  • The market now prices Astralis at 80%, below the bettor’s entry, so copying at the current price would be cheaper.

$1,586 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial trader backing Astralis

A highly profitable trader with a substantial track record bought Astralis while also positioning across three markets in the same event, alongside a notable price rise.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 36,105 resolved trades and is up $8.6M.
  • They put $2,716 on Astralis and have $30,778 positioned across three markets in this event.
  • Astralis rose 16 percentage points as this trader’s position was placed at 79¢.

$2,716 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 69%

Proven 82% winner adding to Astralis

A highly profitable bettor with 319 resolved trades is adding $5,900 to Astralis, supported by a broad record of cross-market activity.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 319 resolved trades and is up $203,475.
  • They added $5,900 to an existing Astralis position, bringing their investment to over $16,000.
  • The entry at 59¢ is below the current 62¢ price, and this trader has positioned across 84 events.

$5,000 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable veteran adding to Astralis

A highly active, profitable bettor with 1,301 resolved bets is adding $5,900 to an existing Astralis position in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 1,301 resolved bets and is up $479,322 lifetime.
  • They added $5,900 to an existing Astralis position, with the trade equal to 56.6% of the market’s 24-hour volume.
  • The entry was 59¢; Astralis is now priced at 62¢.

$5,900 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 83%

Proven 82% winner adding to Astralis

A highly profitable bettor with 319 resolved trades is adding $5,900 to Astralis, supported by a broad record of cross-market activity.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 319 resolved trades and is up $203,475.
  • They added $5,900 to an existing Astralis position, bringing their investment to over $16,000.
  • The entry at 59¢ is below the current 62¢ price, and this trader has positioned across 84 events.

$5,900 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4ebc...a33d — Alliance, $5,237 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x880b...c98b — Alliance, $4,443 (75% win rate)
  3. 0xed44...4f76 — Alliance, $3,213 (65% win rate)
  4. 0xfbaf...2a03 — Alliance, $2,977 (59% win rate)
  5. 0xfd14...2267 — Alliance, $926 (58% win rate)
  6. 0xa34f...4d3a — Alliance, $812 (80% win rate)
  7. 0xaeb7...278b — Alliance, $800 (89% win rate)
  8. 0xf0da...749b — Alliance, $500 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xeebb...0b96 — Alliance, $468 (80% win rate)
  10. 0x1b59...0ba0 — Alliance, $356 (47% win rate)

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Cloud9 wins a five-game series

Covers 3 related markets

KOI wins series after 1-1 start

Covers 4 related markets

Cloud9 beats LYON in series

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE stages impossible comeback

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ rallies from Map 1 loss

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ wins Map 1, Spirit series

Covers 3 related markets

Hanjin Brion sweeps LGD

Covers 4 related markets

NAVI wins the series and Map 2

Covers 3 related markets

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs$21,103 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Astralis
100¢
Alliance
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 2 match between Astralis and Alliance in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 2 against Astralis. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-01 17:16 UTC

$1,586 on Astralis at 88¢

88¢→100¢↑12¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-01 17:16 UTC

$2,716 on Astralis at 79¢

79¢→100¢↑21¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-01 16:08 UTC

$5,000 on Astralis at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-01 14:42 UTC

$5,900 on Astralis at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner

2026-10-01 14:36 UTC

$5,900 on Astralis at 59¢

59¢→100¢↑41¢

Related Theses

Belgium won't beat Egypt
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15…Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in …
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Wallet_0x076da trades 6 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
Cloud9 wins a five-game series
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - G…LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO…Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cl…
KOI wins series after 1-1 start
Wallet_0x076da trades 4 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Mo…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar …
Cloud9 beats LYON in series
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 W…LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LC…LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 W…
Team WE stages impossible comeback
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (…LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION -…LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION -…
MOUZ rallies from Map 1 loss
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ…
MOUZ wins Map 1, Spirit series
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit…Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit…Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOU…
Hanjin Brion sweeps LGD
Wallet_0x076da trades 4 related markets
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gamin…
NAVI wins the series and Map 2
Wallet_0x076da trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natu…Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Nat…Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natu…