Part of: Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Aurora Gaming and NIP in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $22,633.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% winner backing NIP

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and extensive cross-market history placed $7,050 on NIP at 30¢ amid a volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 365 of 385 resolved positions and is up $5.0M.
  • They put $7,050 on NIP at 30¢, while a 12.7× volume spike adds context to the move.
  • The wallet has traded across 462 events, making this more than an isolated bet.

$7,050 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial trader buys Aurora

A highly active, lifetime-profitable trader made a $7,100 Aurora buy amid a 15.6x pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the wallet's win rate does not clearly beat its average win price.

  • This trader is up $3.18M across more than 2,700 resolved bets.
  • They placed a $7,100 Aurora buy during a 15.6x surge in pre-event trading volume.
  • The entry was 71¢, close to the market's current 70% odds, so the price does not show an obvious discount.

$7,100 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 70%

Proven bettor adding to NIP

A proven bettor with a reported 90% win rate is adding to a NIP position at 30¢ amid an 11.9x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 9 of 10 resolved positions and is up $10,361 on $109,102 invested.
  • They are adding to an existing NIP position at 30¢ as pre-event volume runs 11.9 times its historical average.
  • NIP is trading near the 30¢ entry, so the copy price is close to the bettor’s cost.

$1,240 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 93%

91% winner adding to Aurora

A proven bettor with 91% wins across 174 resolved positions is adding to an Aurora position during an 11.9x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 158 of 174 resolved positions and is up $61,695.
  • They are adding to an existing Aurora position as market volume spikes to 11.9 times its historical average.

$1,442 on Aurora Gaming | Wallet win rate: 91%

Proven $3.2M winner backs NIP

A highly profitable bettor with 2,238 resolved trades is staking $5,800 on NIP at 30¢, despite Aurora being the 70% favorite.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 2,238 resolved trades and is up $3.2M lifetime.
  • They put $5,800 on NIP at 30¢, taking the underdog side against Aurora’s 70% market odds.
  • The wallet is a prolific cross-market trader, active across 1,306 markets and 909 events.

$5,801 on NIP | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — NIP, $24,906 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x79ae...9a4a — NIP, $23,500 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xda3a...381f — NIP, $22,225 (65% win rate)
  4. 0xdd88...dadb — NIP, $19,335 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x1bcd...0a69 — NIP, $17,350 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x6b97...8d30 — NIP, $10,004 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xa9c4...7433 — NIP, $6,754 (52% win rate)
  8. 0xb241...12c8 — NIP, $4,832 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xcc13...941d — NIP, $4,133 (93% win rate)
  10. 0x1648...e4cf — NIP, $3,700 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Argentina wins big, both score

Covers 5 related markets

Bilibili wins after dropping opener

Covers 5 related markets

BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series

Covers 3 related markets

AL wins Games 1–3, BLG Game 4

Covers 4 related markets

Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals

Covers 3 related markets

Team Spirit completes reverse sweep

Covers 4 related markets

Series tied after four games

Covers 4 related markets

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A$22,633 tracked5 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Aurora Gaming
100¢
NIP
0¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Aurora Gaming and NIP in the Thunderpick World Championship Group A, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming" if Aurora Gaming win the match against NIP. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against Aurora Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 4:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-15 08:43 UTC

$7,050 on NIP at 30¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-15 08:35 UTC

$7,100 on Aurora Gaming at 71¢

71¢→100¢↑29¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-15 08:21 UTC

$1,240 on NIP at 30¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-15 08:21 UTC

$1,442 on Aurora Gaming at 71¢

71¢→100¢↑29¢

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

2026-10-15 07:20 UTC

$5,801 on NIP at 30¢

Related Theses

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Argentina wins big, both score
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U …Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Arge…
Bilibili wins after dropping opener
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha…
BetBoom wins Games 2 and 3, series
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVI…
AL wins Games 1–3, BLG Game 4
Wallet_0x52ece trades 4 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone…
Spain-Argentina stays under 1.5 goals
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 3 related markets
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Team…Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Team Spirit completes reverse sweep
Wallet_0x79ae0 trades 4 related markets
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Sp…
Series tied after four games
Wallet_0x52ece trades 4 related markets
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Espo…